Real Cartagena vs Patriotas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera B Real Cartagena - Patriotas
Result
1:3
16/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Round 10
Real Cartagena - Patriotas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
27
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Total shots
912
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Murillo M. ,
  • 23', Murillo M. , Salcedo J. ,
  • 29', Amaya Garcia J. A. 🟨,
  • 40', Garavito M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', De La Rosa W. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Barrios D. (Own goal),
  • 55', 1 - 2, Figueroa F. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 66', Sarria E. , Melendez A. ,
  • 66', Figueroa F. , Torres F. ,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Melendez A. ,
  • 75', Rodriguez J. , Espinosa J. ,
  • 75', Mendoza J. , Martinez E. ,
  • 75', Fuentes J. , Valencia J. ,
  • 84', Amaya Garcia J. A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hurtado J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Cartagena
49.5%
Draw
31.1%
Patriotas
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 27.8% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 27.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Cartagena's performance.
  • Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patriotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Cartagena that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patriotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Cartagena - Patriotas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.4)
    2.98
    (3.3)
    4.75
    (2.7)
    8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Real Cartagena - Patriotas?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Recent matches Real Cartagena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Patriotas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Real Cartagena will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Cartagena - Patriotas were as follows:
    28.07.2023 Patriotas - Real Cartagena 0:0
    09.02.2023 Real Cartagena - Patriotas 3:2
    Latest results of Real Cartagena
    Latest results of Patriotas
    11.04.2025 Patriotas - Leones 3:1
    24.03.2025 Bogotá - Patriotas 0:2
    27.02.2025 Patriotas - Orsomarso 0:0
    Colombian Primera B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jaguares de Cordoba ✔ 16104226:141234
    2Patriotas ✔ 16103321:81333
    3Inter Palmira ✔ 16102424:15932
    4Cucuta ✔ 1694324:15931
    5Real Cundinamarca ✔ 1685325:16929
    6Huila ✔ 1685319:10929
    7Cartagena ✔ 1684430:21928
    8Tigres1666416:14224
    9Leones1653822:24-218
    10Real Santander1653815:23-818
    11Orsomarso16210415:16-116
    12Quindio1635813:26-1314
    13Bogota1634917:32-1513
    14Atletico F.C16331015:24-912
    15Barranquilla1625912:27-1511
    16Boca Juniors16221211:20-98

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jaguares de Cordoba is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Patriotas is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Inter Palmira is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Cucuta is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Real Cundinamarca is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Huila is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
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