Real Cartagena vs Patriotas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera B Real Cartagena - Patriotas
Result
1:3
16/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Round 10
Real Cartagena - Patriotas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
27
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Total shots
912
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Murillo M. ,
  • 23', Murillo M. , Salcedo J. ,
  • 29', Amaya Garcia J. A. 🟨,
  • 40', Garavito M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', De La Rosa W. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Barrios D. (Own goal),
  • 55', 1 - 2, Figueroa F. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 66', Sarria E. , Melendez A. ,
  • 66', Figueroa F. , Torres F. ,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Melendez A. ,
  • 75', Rodriguez J. , Espinosa J. ,
  • 75', Mendoza J. , Martinez E. ,
  • 75', Fuentes J. , Valencia J. ,
  • 84', Amaya Garcia J. A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hurtado J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Cartagena
49.5%
Draw
31.1%
Patriotas
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 27.8% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 27.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Cartagena's performance.
  • Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patriotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Cartagena that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patriotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Cartagena - Patriotas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.4)
    2.98
    (3.3)
    4.75
    (2.7)
    8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Recent matches Real Cartagena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Patriotas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Real Cartagena will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Cartagena - Patriotas were as follows:
    28.07.2023 Patriotas - Real Cartagena 0:0
    09.02.2023 Real Cartagena - Patriotas 3:2
    Latest results of Real Cartagena
    Latest results of Patriotas
    11.04.2025 Patriotas - Leones 3:1
    24.03.2025 Bogotá - Patriotas 0:2
    27.02.2025 Patriotas - Orsomarso 0:0
    Colombian Primera B Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jaguares de Cordoba ✔ 44009:4512
    2Cartagena42027:616
    3Inter Palmira42024:406
    4Tigres40041:7-60


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cucuta53025:9-49
    2Huila52128:627
    3Patriotas52124:407
    4Real Cundinamarca52037:526

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jaguares de Cordoba is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
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