Reading vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading).

: EFL Trophy

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.38	0.12
Ball Possession
71%	29%
Total shots
14	3
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	1
Passes
82% (433/526)	60% (131/217)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38	0.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.19	0.43
Total shots
14	3
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
12	1
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	1
Touches in opposition box
25	3
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
18	11
Passes
82% (433/526)	60% (131/217)
Long passes
45% (28/62)	28% (19/68)
Passes in final third
64% (100/156)	38% (23/60)
Crosses
47% (14/30)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.45	0.19
Throw-ins
25	22
Fouls
11	18
Tackles
79% (11/14)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
60	53
Clearances
17	28
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.43	1.19
Goals prevented
0.43	0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Spencer S. 🟨,
32', Lane P. 🟨,
38', Lewis-Burgess K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yiadom A. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
46', Lane P. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
62', Singh-Hurditt D. ↓, Silver R. ↑,
62', Thompson N. ↓, Burke J. ↑,
71', Troso S. 🟨,
74', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
77', Domi R. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
85', Spencer S. ↓, Patton S. ↑,
85', Rushesha T. ↓, Sackey T. ↑,
86', Medwynter C. ↓, Favier L. ↑,
86', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Nash B. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Patton S. ⚽, Borgnis J. (A),
90+3', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Duah P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Reading
53.9%

Draw
22.3%

Milton Keynes Dons
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

24.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading's performance.

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milton Keynes Dons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Reading - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.06)	4.15 ↑ (3.65)	3.93 ↑ (2.98)	5.9% (9.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Reading - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: Reading will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Reading could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Reading has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Reading?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

04.11.2023 Reading - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2

Latest results of Reading

04.10.2025 Reading - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Reading - West Ham United U21 3:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Stockport County - Reading 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Reading - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

04.10.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham 3:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - West Ham United U21 1:5 ✺

13.09.2025 Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 ✺

English EFL Trophy Table

2025/26

Group 1

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Salford	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
2	Stockport County	2	1	0	0	1	6:6	3
3	Wolves U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:6	3
4	Wigan	2	0	0	0	2	1:4	0

Group 2

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	0	7:1	6
2	Tranmere	2	1	1	0	0	4:3	5
3	Nottingham U21	2	0	0	1	1	3:4	1
4	Barrow	2	0	0	0	2	1:7	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bradford City	2	2	0	0	0	7:2	6
2	Doncaster	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
3	Grimsby	2	0	0	0	2	1:5	0
4	Everton U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	0	6:0	6
2	Notts Co	2	1	0	0	1	2:4	3
3	Barnsley	1	0	0	0	1	1:2	0
4	Manchester Utd U21	1	0	0	0	1	0:3	0

Group 5

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bolton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Manchester City U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Rotherham	2	1	0	0	1	3:3	3
4	Oldham	2	0	0	0	2	3:8	0

Group 6

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Harrogate	2	2	0	0	0	2:0	6
2	Huddersfield	2	1	0	0	1	6:3	3
3	Newcastle Utd U21	2	0	1	0	1	4:8	2
4	Mansfield	2	0	0	1	1	2:3	1

Group 7

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Port Vale	2	2	0	0	0	6:1	6
2	Fleetwood	2	1	1	0	0	6:2	5
3	Accrington	2	0	0	1	1	2:4	1
4	Leeds U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:8	0

Group 8

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crewe	2	2	0	0	0	9:1	6
2	Burton	2	1	0	0	1	2:1	3
3	Chesterfield	2	1	0	0	1	2:7	3
4	Liverpool U21	2	0	0	0	2	0:4	0

Group 9

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Arsenal U21	1	1	0	0	0	2:1	3
2	Newport	2	1	0	0	1	2:2	3
3	Cardiff	2	1	0	0	1	1:1	3
4	Exeter	1	0	0	0	1	0:1	0

Group 10

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Plymouth	2	2	0	0	0	8:2	6
2	Bristol Rovers	2	1	1	0	0	5:4	5
3	Tottenham U21	2	0	0	1	1	6:10	1
4	Cheltenham	2	0	0	0	2	0:3	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Northampton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Walsall	2	1	0	0	1	3:2	3
3	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	0	1	4:4	3
4	Chelsea U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 12

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Reading	3	2	0	0	1	6:4	6
2	West Ham U21	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Swindon	1	1	0	0	0	3:2	3
4	MK Dons	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 13

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Stevenage	2	2	0	0	0	7:2	6
2	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	0	0	1	4:6	3
3	Bromley	2	0	1	0	1	4:5	2
4	Crystal Palace U21	2	0	0	1	1	4:6	1

Group 14

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Leyton Orient	2	2	0	0	0	5:2	6
2	Crawley	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Peterborough	2	1	0	0	1	5:5	3
4	Aston Villa U21	2	0	0	0	2	4:8	0

Group 15

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Colchester	2	2	0	0	0	4:2	6
2	Gillingham	2	1	0	0	1	5:3	3
3	Wycombe	2	1	0	0	1	4:3	3
4	Fulham U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 16

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Cambridge Utd	1	1	0	0	0	3:1	3
2	Luton	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Barnet	2	0	1	0	1	2:5	2
4	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	0	1:1	1

Which TV channels are streaming of Reading - Milton Keynes Dons?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+