Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig
Result
2:3
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.33
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
81% (314/388)83% (379/457)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.782.32
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3123
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
81% (314/388)83% (379/457)
Long passes
55% (30/55)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
74% (107/145)77% (126/164)
Crosses
31% (11/35)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.770.93
Fouls
1413
Tackles
43% (6/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4456
Clearances Total
2832
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.321.78
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Openda L. , Baku R. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Simons X. , Vermeeren A. (A),
  • 34', Gerhardt Y. 🟨,
  • 36', Bitshiabu E. 🟨,
  • 36', Simons X. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 3, Simons X. , Baku R. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 3, Fischer K. , Kaminski J. (A),
  • 60', Fischer K. 🟨,
  • 71', Kaminski J. , Skov Olsen A. ,
  • 71', Vavro D. , Maehle J. ,
  • 71', Baku R. , Baumgartner C. ,
  • 71', Vermeeren A. , Kampl K. ,
  • 75', 2 - 3, Skov Olsen A. , Maehle J. (A),
  • 76', Openda L. 🟨,
  • 77', Openda L. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 77', Nedeljkovic K. , Geertruida L. ,
  • 85', Simons X. , Haidara A. ,
  • 86', Wimmer P. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 86', Dardai B. , Tomas T. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/25hsf832

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
34.1%
Draw
26.3%
RB Leipzig
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 25.5% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 25.9% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.51)
    3.63
    (3.77)
    2.42
    (2.66)
    4.4%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 3.
    • Wolfsburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wolfsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Majer L. (Ankle Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Koulierakis K. (Injury) Vavro D. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:34 (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    26.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:0
    30.11.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 1:5
    13.04.2024 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 3:0
    25.11.2023 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:1
    31.10.2023 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 1:0
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1
    01.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 1:2
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 33247295:326379
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 331911370:412968
    3Eintracht Frankfurt33169865:452057
    4Freiburg331671048:50-255
    5Dortmund331661168:511754
    6Mainz331491053:411251
    7RB Leipzig331312851:45651
    8Werder Bremen331391150:56-648
    9Stuttgart331381261:511047
    10B. Monchengladbach331361455:56-145
    11Augsburg3311101234:49-1543
    12Wolfsburg3310101355:54140
    13Union Berlin339101433:50-1737
    14St. Pauli33881728:39-1132
    15Hoffenheim337111546:64-1832
    16Heidenheim33852036:60-2429
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 33672049:77-2825
    18Bochum ✔ 33572131:67-3622

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Which TV channels are streaming of Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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