RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.30	0.79
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
10	17
Shots on Goal
6	2
Shots off Goal
3	6
Blocked Shots
1	9
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
0	9
Shots inside the Box
5	11
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
Free Kicks
6	15
Offsides
3	3
Fouls
15	6
Yellow Cards
3	0
Throw-ins
20	22
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	30
Passes
82% (376/457)	83% (413/498)
Passes in the final third
64% (57/89)	72% (103/143)
Crosses
33% (2/6)	14% (3/22)
Tackles
70% (16/23)	61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
34	16
Interceptions
7	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
29', St. Juste J. ↓, Inacio G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Debast Z. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
55', Catamo G. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
55', Harder C. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
61', Raum D. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
61', Simons X. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
62', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
69', Haidara A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Braganca D. (A),
76', Fresneda I. ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Baumgartner C. (A),
79', Raum D. 🟨,
84', Baumgartner C. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
86', Vandevoordt M. 🟨,
87', Orban W. 🟨,

Chances of winning

RB Leipzig
31.3%

Draw
25.6%

Sporting Lisbon
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

26.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

27.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1%)

RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.97)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	2.22 ↓ (2.32)	4.1% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon?

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (97 of 118 users predict this - 82.2%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 89.1%. The data is statistically significant.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sporting is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Matheus Reis (Thigh Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sporting: Quaresma E. (Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Sporting Lisbon?

RB Leipzig has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against RB Leipzig?

Sporting Lisbon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:

Latest results of RB Leipzig

18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3 ✺

15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1 ✺

12.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 4:2 ✺

20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1 ✺

15.12.2024 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Sporting Lisbon

18.01.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 0:3 ✺

11.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:2 ✺

07.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:0 ✺

03.01.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon 4:4 ✺

29.12.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:0 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport, Q Sport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app