Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 6
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/496) | 85% (423/496) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/496) | 85% (423/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (98/143) | 70% (59/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 46% (12/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Ouedraogo A. (A),
- 21', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Couto Y. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Baku R. 🟨,
- 60', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
- 67', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
- 68', Nusa A. ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
- 70', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
- 70', Adeyemi K. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
- 80', Beier M. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
- 80', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
- 86', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
- 89', Bakayoko J. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
- 90+3', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Borussia Dortmund
55.8% | Draw
21.5% | RB Leipzig
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.73) |
4.39 ↓
(4.45) |
4.23 ↑
(4) |
3.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 65%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 4 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.2% – 79.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1.
- Borussia D is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- RB Leipzig is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A.
(Muscle Injury)
Campbell C.
(International duty)
Can E.
(Groin Injury)
Duranville J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Finkgrafe M.
(Knee Injury)
Haidara A.
(Knee Injury)
Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kampl K.
(Illness)
Nedeljkovic K.
(Knee Injury)
Schlager X.
(Calf Injury)
Werner T.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:35. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against RB Leipzig?
Borussia Dortmund has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Borussia Dortmund?
RB Leipzig has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig were as follows:
15.03.2025
RB Leipzig
-
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
02.11.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
RB Leipzig
2:1
27.04.2024
RB Leipzig
-
Borussia Dortmund
4:1
09.12.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
RB Leipzig
2:3
05.04.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
Latest results of RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Sky Sport 258 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
