Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano
Result
2:1
09/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 27
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.02
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1020
Shots on Goal
56
Shots off Goal
38
Blocked Shots
26
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
53
Free Kicks
1712
Offsides
31
Fouls
1217
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
816
Touches in the Opposition Box
3017
Passes
88% (409/464)90% (490/542)
Passes in the final third
75% (81/108)78% (83/107)
Crosses
38% (3/8)28% (5/18)
Tackles
37% (7/19)56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
97
Interceptions
143

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Modric L. (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Diaz P. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Gumbau G. 🟨,
  • 68', Rodrygo ↓, Valverde F. ↑,
  • 70', Diaz P. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
  • 70', Embarba A. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
  • 70', Gumbau G. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
  • 78', Mbappe K. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 79', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 85', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 85', Ciss P. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
  • 85', Pacha ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
  • 86', Bellingham J. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Modric L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
74.6%		Draw
16.2%		Rayo Vallecano
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.1% 15.9% 9.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.29 ↓
    (1.3)    		 6.01 ↓
    (6.04)    		 10.49 ↑
    (9.68)    		 3.6%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 51 - 89.5%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 3 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81.5% – 97.5%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 1.
    • Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Hamstring Injury) Palazon I. (Ankle Injury) de Frutos J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Real: Rudiger A. (Illness) Vallejo J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: de Tomas R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Our prediction for today's Real to win the game is with odds 1.3.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Real won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 45:17 (average 2.5:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:5 (average 3.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 3:3
    18.02.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 1:1
    05.11.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 0:0
    24.05.2023 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    07.11.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 3:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Betis - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Real Madrid - Girona 2:0 ✺
    19.02.2025 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺
    17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺
    07.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid 1:0 ✺
    31.01.2025 Leganés - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona382846102:396388
    2Real Madrid38266678:384084
    3Atl. Madrid382210668:303876
    4Ath Bilbao381913654:292570
    5Villarreal382010871:512070
    6Betis3816121057:50760
    7Celta Vigo381671559:57255
    8Rayo Vallecano3813131241:45-452
    9Osasuna3812161048:52-452
    10Mallorca381391635:44-948
    11Real Sociedad381371835:46-1146
    12Valencia3811131444:54-1046
    13Getafe381191834:39-542
    14Espanyol381191840:51-1142
    15Alaves3810121638:48-1042
    16Girona381181944:60-1641
    17Sevilla3810111742:55-1341
    18Leganes389131639:56-1740
    19Las Palmas38882240:61-2132
    20Valladolid38443026:90-6416

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaCCTV-5, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
    cubaCubaTele Rebelde
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
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    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 2
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
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    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, Setanta Sports
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
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    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
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    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
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    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
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    tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
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    worldWorldDaystar Pacific, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia
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