Elche vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga Elche - Rayo Vallecano
29/04/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Elche - Rayo Vallecano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Elche
22.7%
Draw
27.3%
Rayo Vallecano
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 28.4% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 27.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Elche - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.23
    (3.87)
    3.51
    (3.34)
    1.92
    (2.01)
    4.4%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Elche - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 54.1%82.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 9).
    • Elche has the most likely position - 20 (99.35%), project points - 22, currently - 13, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Rayo Vallecano has the most likely position - 9 (17.21%), project points - 50, currently - 40, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 2.
    • Elche has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Elche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Elche won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elche - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    03.10.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Elche 2:1
    Latest results of Elche
    23.04.2023 Elche - Valencia 0:2
    16.04.2023 Girona - Elche 2:0
    08.04.2023 Osasuna - Elche 2:1
    01.04.2023 Elche - Barcelona 0:4
    19.03.2023 Real Sociedad - Elche 2:0
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid33006:159
    2Ath Bilbao33006:339
    3Villarreal32108:177
    4Barcelona32107:347
    5Espanyol32105:327
    6Getafe32014:406
    7Elche31204:225
    8Betis41214:405
    9Valencia31114:224
    10Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    11Alaves31113:304
    12Sevilla31025:503
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo31021:5-43
    16Real Sociedad30213:4-12
    17Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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