Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz).

: LaLiga - Round 29
Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.58	0.57
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
75% (306/409)	68% (240/351)
Yellow Cards
3	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.30	1.13
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
34	9
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
75% (306/409)	68% (240/351)
Long passes
42% (30/71)	36% (27/75)
Passes in final third
68% (113/167)	51% (57/111)
Crosses
26% (10/39)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.42
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
61% (14/23)	58% (11/19)
Duels won
63	65
Clearances Total
21	39
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.13	1.30
Goals prevented
-0.87	1.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Ciss P. ⚽, Lopez U. (A),
8', Fernandez P. 🟨,
14', Joan Jordan (Pen),
16', Cabanes P. 🟨,
36', Nteka R. 🟨,
42', Valentin O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cabanes P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
54', Trejo O. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
54', Nteka R. ↓, Pacha ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Diaz P. ⚽,
59', Guridi J. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
59', Alena C. ↓, Martin C. ↑,
62', Batalla A. 🟨,
70', de Frutos J. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
70', Garcia A. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
78', Mourino S. 🟨,
78', Hernandez A. 🟨,
78', Joan Jordan ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
80', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
85', Lopez U. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Alavés
44.7%

Draw
31.6%

Rayo Vallecano
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

31.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.35)	3.05 ↑ (3.05)	4.02 ↑ (3.45)	4.1% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano?

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 17 - 45.9%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 29.8% – 62%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2.
Recent matches Alavés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rayo Vallecano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Rayo Vallecano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Alavés will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Toe Injury) Lejeune F. (Yellow Cards) Montiel J. (Ankle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) de Tomas R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Alavés won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Rayo Vallecano?

Deportivo Alavés has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Deportivo Alavés?

Rayo Vallecano has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:

26.10.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés 1:0

10.03.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 1:0

15.09.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés 2:0

Latest results of Deportivo Alavés

14.03.2025 Las Palmas - Deportivo Alavés 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Espanyol 0:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Leganés - Deportivo Alavés 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺

07.02.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+