Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

: LaLiga - Round 5
Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	0.81
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
86% (460/532)	80% (297/372)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.18	1.61
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
24	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
10	8
Passes
86% (460/532)	80% (297/372)
Long passes
53% (33/62)	40% (24/60)
Passes in final third
76% (139/182)	67% (69/103)
Crosses
7% (2/30)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.39	0.50
Throw-ins
18	26
Fouls
8	10
Tackles
45% (5/11)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
36	34
Clearances
22	28
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.61	1.18
Goals prevented
0.61	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Palazon I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Alvarez H. (A),
55', Rueda J. 🟨,
60', Rueda J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
60', Alvarez H. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
60', Pacha ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
60', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
65', 1 - 1, de Frutos J. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
68', Palazon I. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
71', Sotelo H. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
79', Ristic M. ↓, Starfelt C. ↑,
79', Zaragoza B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
90+1', de Frutos J. ↓, Becerra S. ↑,
90+1', Diaz P. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
46.3%

Draw
28%

Celta de Vigo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rayo Vallecano's performance.

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.45)	3.43 ↑ (3.28)	3.7 ↑ (2.96)	3.7% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo?

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Celta will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 48.2% – 82.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Celta has had a series of home games.
Rayo Vallecano might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Muscle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Contusion)
There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Cervi F. (Coach's decision)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Mendy N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Perez F. (Injury)
There are questionable in Celta: Alonso M. (Knee Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Celta de Vigo?

Rayo Vallecano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Rayo Vallecano?

Celta de Vigo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo were as follows:

18.05.2025 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 1:2

10.01.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 2:1

31.03.2024 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 0:0

11.12.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 0:0

11.03.2023 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 3:0

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

14.09.2025 Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona 1:1 ✺

28.08.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Neman Grodno 4:0 ✺

25.08.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺

21.08.2025 Neman Grodno - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Celta de Vigo

14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Betis 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Celta de Vigo - Getafe 0:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	9	7	1	1	24:10	14	22
2	Real Madrid	8	7	0	1	19:9	10	21
3	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	16:10	6	17
4	Atl. Madrid	9	4	4	1	16:10	6	16
5	Betis	9	4	4	1	15:10	5	16
6	Espanyol	9	4	3	2	13:11	2	15
7	Sevilla	9	4	1	4	16:14	2	13
8	Elche	8	3	4	1	11:9	2	13
9	Ath Bilbao	8	4	1	3	9:9	0	13
10	Alaves	8	3	2	3	9:8	1	11
11	Getafe	8	3	2	3	9:11	-2	11
12	Osasuna	9	3	1	5	7:9	-2	10
13	Levante	8	2	2	4	13:14	-1	8
14	Rayo Vallecano	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8
15	Mallorca	9	2	2	5	10:14	-4	8
16	Valencia	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8
17	Celta Vigo	8	0	6	2	7:10	-3	6
18	R. Oviedo	9	2	0	7	4:16	-12	6
19	Girona	9	1	3	5	6:19	-13	6
20	Real Sociedad	8	1	2	5	7:12	-5	5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15