Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 2
  • Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)
Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.51
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (378/467)74% (232/312)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.862.05
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
97
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3120
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
81% (378/467)74% (232/312)
Long passes
57% (26/46)38% (23/61)
Passes in final third
73% (109/150)57% (60/105)
Crosses
26% (7/27)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.341.02
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1017
Tackles
67% (18/27)57% (12/21)
Duels won
7564
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.050.86
Goals prevented
0.050.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
  • 43', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
  • 45', Marcelin J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Radulovic A. , Weixelbraun D. ,
  • 46', Seidl M. , M'Buyi C. ,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Marcelin J. (Own goal),
  • 67', 1 - 1, Dahl P. , M'Buyi C. (A),
  • 70', 1 - 2, M'Buyi C. , Dahl P. (A),
  • 72', Boving W. , Jatta S. ,
  • 72', Grgic L. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 77', Dahl P. 🟨,
  • 77', Horn J. 🟨,
  • 80', Horvat T. , Hodl J. ,
  • 80', Chukwuani T. , Rozga F. ,
  • 83', Antiste J. , Kara E. ,
  • 83', Horn J. , Ahoussou A. ,
  • 83', Dahl P. , Schaub L. ,
  • 87', Johnston M. , Malic A. ,
  • 90+3', Schaub L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
44.5%
Draw
26.9%
Rapid Wien
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 27.2% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.16)
    3.53
    (3.49)
    3.26
    (3.31)
    6.2%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 50%). Rapid (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.63%98.37%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 2.
    • Sturm is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rapid is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rapid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sturm will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury)
    • There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Groller A. (Injury) Oswald M. (Foot Injury) Scholler J. M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz 3:1
    04.04.2025 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 2:0
    02.11.2024 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 1:1
    04.08.2024 Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz 1:0
    01.05.2024 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 2:1
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    06.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Strasbourg 2:3
    01.08.2025 LASK Linz - Sturm Graz 0:2
    25.07.2025 Bischofshofen - Sturm Graz 0:4
    19.07.2025 Sturm Graz - Hamburger SV 2:1
    19.07.2025 ASK Voitsberg - Sturm Graz 0:3
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Salzburg431012:3910
    2SK Rapid43105:2310
    3Altach42204:138
    4Tirol32108:447
    5Sturm Graz32016:336
    6Wolfsberger AC42026:426
    7Hartberg42027:706
    8Ried41125:6-14
    9Grazer AK40314:9-53
    10LASK41033:9-63
    11Austria Vienna40134:9-51
    12BW Linz40040:7-70

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, SportKlub 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
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