Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz
Result
3:1
18/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 31
  • Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)
Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.81
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
79% (324/408)68% (208/305)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.591.69
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2830
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
79% (324/408)68% (208/305)
Long passes
52% (33/64)20% (11/56)
Passes in final third
73% (106/146)57% (62/108)
Crosses
24% (4/17)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.84
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1110
Tackles
57% (12/21)64% (18/28)
Duels won
5651
Clearances
2724
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.691.59
Goals prevented
0.69-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Bolla B. , Seidl M. (A),
  • 41', 2 - 0, Burgstaller G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wurmbrand N. , Radulovic A. ,
  • 56', Aiwu E. , Karic E. ,
  • 56', Yalcouye M. , Chukwuani T. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Grgic L. ,
  • 71', Burgstaller G. , Kara E. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Bolla B. , Kara E. (A),
  • 82', Oswald M. , Kerschbaum R. ,
  • 82', Jansson I. , Schaub L. ,
  • 82', Grgic L. , Camara A. ,
  • 82', Horvat T. , Hodl J. ,
  • 88', Gorenc Stankovic J. , Malic A. ,
  • 89', Seidl M. , Beljo D. ,

Chances of winning


Rapid Wien
29.6%
Draw
26.3%
Sturm Graz
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 25.9% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 25.2% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (2.75)
    3.61
    (3.5)
    2.16
    (2.2)
    5.4%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 1.
    • Rapid is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sturm has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rapid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Rapid: Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Groller A. (Injury) Orgler L. (Knee Injury) Raux Yao S. (Knee Injury) Scholler J. M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Geyrhofer N. (Knee Injury) Jatta S. (Ankle Injury) Mayulu F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rapid: Cvetkovic N. (Muscle Injury) Roka E. (Injury) Sangare M. (Injury) Wurmbrand N. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Lavalee D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rapid won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 2:0
    02.11.2024 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 1:1
    04.08.2024 Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz 1:0
    01.05.2024 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 2:1
    24.04.2024 Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz 1:3
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SK RapidBye
    2LASKHartberg2 : 0

    Final
    1SK RapidLASK3 : 0, 1 : 3
    Which TV channels are streaming of Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8, SportKlub 3
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
    ukraineUkraineSport 2
    worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 2 Baltic
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