Sturm Graz vs Rapid Wien: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Austrian Bundesliga Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien
Result
2:0
04/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 24
  • Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)
Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.09
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
77% (243/315)85% (351/412)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.16
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2117
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
77% (243/315)85% (351/412)
Long passes
33% (14/43)62% (29/47)
Passes in final third
64% (69/108)65% (48/74)
Crosses
33% (6/18)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.76
Fouls
1217
Tackles
71% (10/14)57% (13/23)
Duels won
5161
Clearances Total
1921
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.160.78
Goals prevented
0.16-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Boving W. ,
  • 34', Johnston M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Horvat T. 🟨,
  • 62', Jatta S. , Grgic L. ,
  • 64', Cvetkovic N. 🟨,
  • 68', Beljo D. 🟨,
  • 71', Grgic L. , Amane R. ,
  • 71', Seidl M. , Scholler J. M. ,
  • 71', Oswald M. , Auer J. ,
  • 72', Gorenc Stankovic J. , Chukwuani T. ,
  • 72', Johnston M. , Malic A. ,
  • 81', Lavalee D. , Soglo E. ,
  • 81', Yalcouye M. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 84', Scholler J. M. 🟨,
  • 89', Sangare M. , Schaub L. ,
  • 90', 2 - 0, Grgic L. , Horvat T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
35.6%
Draw
28.6%
Rapid Wien
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 26.5% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 26.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.
  • Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapid Wien's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapid Wien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.11)
    3.29
    (3.57)
    2.63
    (3.27)
    6.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Sturm Graz will win! (28 of 33 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sturm won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Rapid have a series of home games.
    • Sturm will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Karic E. (Muscle Injury) Mayulu F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Rapid: Amane R. (Toe Injury) Burgstaller G. (Head Injury) Grgic L. (Red Card) Orgler L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Sturm won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:21 (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:9 (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 1:1
    04.08.2024 Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz 1:0
    01.05.2024 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 2:1
    24.04.2024 Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz 1:3
    19.04.2024 Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien 1:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    Austrian Bundesliga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sturm Graz30195664:352939
    2Austria Vienna29175742:271533
    3Wolfsberger AC29156856:352133
    4Salzburg30149747:331432
    5SK Rapid291081136:36021
    6BW Linz291141434:39-520

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 7
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
    worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 1 Baltic
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