Raków Częstochowa vs Zrinjski Mostar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec).

: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	0.79
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
79% (396/499)	71% (254/356)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.99	0.77
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
16	10
Passes
79% (396/499)	71% (254/356)
Long passes
39% (19/49)	38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
68% (106/155)	59% (52/88)
Crosses
50% (7/14)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.39	0.46
Throw-ins
14	13
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
79% (15/19)	71% (15/21)
Duels won
59	62
Clearances
26	14
Interceptions
14	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	2
xGOT faced
0.77	0.99
Goals prevented
0.77	-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Memija K. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Brunes J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Djurasek N. 🟨,
57', Mikic L. ↓, Sakota M. ↑,
57', Djurasek N. ↓, Ivancic A. ↑,
63', Pranjic J. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
76', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
76', Repka O. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
83', Brunes J. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
83', Adriano ↓, Silva J. C. ↑,
84', Sakota M. 🟨,
87', Pienko T. ↓, Mircetic B. ↑,
90+1', Memija K. ↓, Abramovic K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Raków Częstochowa
63%

Draw
22.5%

Zrinjski Mostar
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+3%)

Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	4.18 ↑ (4.07)	6.54 ↑ (5.21)	6.1% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Zrinjski (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Raków (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Zrinjski (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Raków (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Zrinjski (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
In this match, Raków is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A. (Inactive)
We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Zrinjski Mostar?

Raków Częstochowa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zrinjski Mostar won against Raków Częstochowa?

Zrinjski Mostar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar were as follows:

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

07.12.2025 Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice 1:0 ✺

03.12.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa 1:2 ✺

30.11.2025 Arka Gdynia - Raków Częstochowa 1:4 ✺

27.11.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Rapid Wien 4:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar

07.12.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar 1:1 ✺

03.12.2025 Rudar Prijedor - Zrinjski Mostar 0:2 ✺

30.11.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Posušje 0:2 ✺

27.11.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Häcken 2:1 ✺

21.11.2025 Radnik Bijeljina - Zrinjski Mostar 0:2 ✺

Draw

2026/27

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
3	Lugano	Bye
4	Bye	Dukagjini
5	FCSB	Bye
6	Bye	Auda
7	Rakow	Bye
8	Bye	Valletta
9	Debrecen	Bye
10	Marsaxlokk	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 3
11	Goteborg	Bye
12	Caernarfon	Levadia	0 : 5
13	Varazdin	Bye
14	Bye	Jablonec
15	Bravo	Bye
16	Europa FC	Shkendija	0 : 5
17	Shelbourne	Bye
18	Kalju	Linfield	1 : 0
19	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
20	Bye	Noah
22	Dinamo Tirana	FC Astana	0 : 1
23	AF Elbasani	BATE	1 : 1
24	Bye	Sion
25	Motherwell	Bye
26	Bye	HB Torshavn
27	Vllaznia	Malisheva	0 : 5, 2 : 1
28	Bye	Hibernian
29	Paks	Bye
30	Bye	Panathinaikos
32	Bye	Ajax
33	LNZ Cherkasy	Bye
34	Bye	Gent
35	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Bye
36	Bye	Ludogorets
37	Bohemians	St Josephs	2 : 0
38	Connahs Q.	FC Ballkani	0 : 0
39	Vaduz	Bye
40	Mornar Bar	Atletic Escaldes	1 : 2
41	NSI Runavik	Hamrun	1 : 1
42	Bye	Koper
43	Partizan	Bye
44	UNA Strassen	La Fiorita	2 : 0, 1 : 0
45	Basaksehir	Bye
46	FK Sarajevo	Inter Turku	1 : 1
47	HJK	Bye
48	Bye	Coleraine
49	Glentoran	RFS	1 : 2
51	Decic	FK Liepaja	1 : 2, 0 : 1
52	Bye	Austria Vienna
53	GAIS	Bye
54	Bye	Nordsjaelland
56	Bye	GKS Katowice
57	Dila Gori	Virtus	3 : 1
58	Bye	Apollon
60	Bye	Brann
61	Valur	Bye
62	Bye	Zrinjski
63	Mondorf	Dinamo Tbilisi	1 : 2
64	Petrovac	Zalgiris	1 : 3
65	Dun. Streda	Bye
66	Velez Mostar	Milsami	1 : 1
67	Vikingur	Stjarnan	1 : 3
68	Differdange	Ilves	0 : 0
69	FK Panevezys	Bye
70	Bye	Tobol
71	Neftci Baku	Bye
72	Din. Minsk	Sileks	0 : 1
73	Zeleznicar Pancevo	Bye
74	Bye	Braga
75	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
76	Bye	FC Copenhagen
77	Penybont	FC Santa Coloma	0 : 1
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Alashkert	Yelimay Semey	1 : 1
80	Bye	CFR Cluj
81	Hegelmann	Paide	1 : 1
82	Zira	Torpedo Kutaisi	3 : 0
83	Trnava	Bye
84	Bye	CSKA 1948 Sofia
85	AEK Larnaca	Bye
86	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
87	Borac Banja Luka	Bye
88	Bye	Petrocub
89	Bissen	Bye
90	Bye	Gyor
91	ML Vitebsk	Bye
92	Bye	Sutjeska
93	Flora	Bye
94	Bye	TNS
95	Floriana	Bye
96	Bye	Drita
97	Vardar	Bye
98	Bye	Riga FC

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Lugano	Dukagjini
3	FCSB	Auda
4	Rakow	Valletta
5	Debrecen	TBD #10
6	Goteborg	TBD #12
7	Varazdin	Jablonec
8	Bravo	TBD #16
9	Shelbourne	TBD #18
10	Zimbru Chisinau	Noah
11	Bye	TBD #22
12	TBD #23	Sion
13	Motherwell	HB Torshavn
14	Malisheva	Hibernian
15	Paks	Panathinaikos
16	Bye	Ajax
17	LNZ Cherkasy	Gent
18	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Ludogorets
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	Vaduz	TBD #40
21	TBD #41	Koper
22	Partizan	UNA Strassen
23	Basaksehir	TBD #46
24	HJK	Coleraine
25	TBD #49	Bye
26	FK Liepaja	Austria Vienna
27	GAIS	Nordsjaelland
28	Bye	GKS Katowice
29	TBD #57	Apollon
30	Bye	Brann
31	Valur	Zrinjski
32	TBD #63	TBD #64
33	Dun. Streda	TBD #66
34	TBD #67	TBD #68
35	FK Panevezys	Tobol
36	TBD #71	TBD #72
37	Zeleznicar Pancevo	Braga
38	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Copenhagen
39	TBD #77	SK Rapid
40	TBD #79	CFR Cluj
41	TBD #81	TBD #82
42	Trnava	CSKA 1948 Sofia
43	AEK Larnaca	Beitar Jerusalem
44	Borac Banja Luka	Petrocub
45	Bissen	Gyor
46	ML Vitebsk	Sutjeska
47	Flora	TNS
48	Floriana	Drita
49	Vardar	Riga FC

Which TV channels are streaming of Raków Częstochowa - Zrinjski Mostar?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 18
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 18
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus