Result
2:3
17/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (271/352) | 86% (357/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 3.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (271/352) | 86% (357/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 57% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (62/103) | 72% (102/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 53% (9/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.87 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽, Mini (A),
- 8', Bulat M. 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 1, Ameyaw M. ⚽, Pienko T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ameyaw M. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 46', Repka O. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 46', Tudor F. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 46', Kasperkiewicz A. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
- 56', Mini ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 66', Pienko T. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 66', Fassbender M. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 66', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Bulat M. ⚽,
- 72', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 3, Rocha L. ⚽, Lopez I. (A),
- 80', Kubica K. 🟨,
- 80', Barath P. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 3, Strzalek I. ⚽,
- 84', Adriano ↓, Otieno E. ↑,
- 86', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
- 89', Isik G. 🟨,
- 89', Lopez I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
25.1% | Draw
27.6% | Raków Częstochowa
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.76 ↑
(3.5) |
3.38 ↑
(3.15) |
1.98 ↓
(2.08) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Raków (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Termalica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Raków might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Lopez I.
(Knee Injury)
Silva J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Termalica: Zapolnik K.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Raków Częstochowa?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Raków Częstochowa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
28.06.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Termalica Nieciecza
1:3
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Rakow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Termalica Nieciecza - Raków Częstochowa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
