Stal Mielec vs Raków Częstochowa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa
Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 31
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.97
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
71% (229/324)84% (384/459)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.30
Total shots
515
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
1023
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
105
Passes
71% (229/324)84% (384/459)
Long passes
31% (16/51)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
52% (33/64)72% (91/127)
Crosses
36% (4/11)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.68
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
510
Tackles
81% (13/16)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4129
Clearances
1717
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.300.26
Goals prevented
-0.700.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', Gerbowski F. , Domanski M. ,
  • 65', Kadzior D. , Krykun S. ,
  • 66', Diaz J. , Makuch P. ,
  • 66', Mosor A. , Barath P. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Barath P. ,
  • 76', Silva J. , Rodin M. ,
  • 77', Wolsztynski L. , Beauguel J. ,
  • 77', Knap K. , Hannola P. ,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Brunes J. , Lopez I. (A),
  • 85', Brunes J. , Rocha L. ,
  • 85', Kochergin V. , Lederman B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
20.3%
Draw
24.8%
Raków Częstochowa
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 24.9% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 24.4% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.65
    (4.3)
    3.78
    (3.75)
    1.71
    (1.75)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 0.
    • Recent form of Stal Mielec has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Raków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Muscle Injury) Otieno E. (Red Card) Racovitan B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec 1:0
    24.02.2024 Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    19.08.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec 2:0
    10.02.2023 Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
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