Radomiak Radom vs Raków Częstochowa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa
Result
3:1
03/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 3
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.12
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
74% (178/242)82% (334/408)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.12
xG on target (xGOT)
3.390.66
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2640
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
74% (178/242)82% (334/408)
Long passes
40% (18/45)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
67% (51/76)68% (107/157)
Crosses
43% (3/7)21% (8/38)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.06
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
2014
Tackles
56% (9/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6655
Clearances
5217
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.663.39
Goals prevented
-0.320.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Jordao B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lopes V. , Wolski R. ,
  • 46', Pienko T. , Adriano ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Capita , Majchrowicz F. (A),
  • 56', Mosor A. 🟨,
  • 61', Mosor A. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 61', Struski K. , Repka O. ,
  • 64', Arsenic Z. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Alves R. (Pen),
  • 68', 2 - 1, Brunes J. , Diaby-Fadiga L. (A),
  • 76', Arsenic Z. , Rocha L. ,
  • 78', Alves R. , Donis C. ,
  • 78', Jordao B. , Camara I. ,
  • 79', Capita , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 82', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 83', Barath P. , Makuch P. ,
  • 84', Joao Pedro , Zie Ouattara ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Maurides , Kaput M. (A),
  • 90+4', Adriano 🟨,
  • 90+5', Wolski R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
28.4%
Draw
28.6%
Raków Częstochowa
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 29.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 28.1% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.19)
    3.3
    (3.18)
    2.18
    (2.22)
    6.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 1.
    • Radomiak has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.
    • Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 2:1
    05.10.2024 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    05.04.2024 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 2:1
    01.10.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 3:0
    10.04.2023 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock43107:2510
    2Legia32105:147
    3Radomiak Radom42119:637
    4Widzew Lodz42117:437
    5Termalica B-B42116:337
    6Cracovia421110:827
    7Jagiellonia32018:806
    8Gornik Zabrze42024:406
    9Lech Poznan32017:8-16
    10Arka Gdynia41213:305
    11Korona Kielce41124:5-14
    12Pogon Szczecin41127:9-24
    13Rakow31023:5-23
    14Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    15Zaglebie30213:4-12
    16GKS Katowice40133:9-61
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk30126:8-2-4

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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