Raków Częstochowa vs Radomiak Radom: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 28
Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.95
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
9	5
Passes
85% (378/443)	79% (236/300)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	0.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.85
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
27	15
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
14	10
Passes
85% (378/443)	79% (236/300)
Long passes
45% (18/40)	60% (35/58)
Passes in final third
77% (114/148)	57% (47/83)
Crosses
31% (8/26)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	0.45
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
50% (3/6)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
39	46
Clearances Total
21	40
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.85	1.37
Goals prevented
-0.13	-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Henrique P. 🟨,
33', Kikolski M. 🟨,
45+1', Dadashov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Wolski R. ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, Lopez I. ⚽,
54', Adriano ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Rocha L. ⚽,
73', Wolski R. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
73', Jordao B. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
76', Dadashov R. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
82', Lopez I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
82', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
82', Arsenic Z. ↓, Rodin M. ↑,
83', Burch M. ↓, Ramos F. ↑,
86', Svarnas S. 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Raków Częstochowa
66%

Draw
21.7%

Radomiak Radom
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	4.28 ↑ (4)	7.64 ↑ (5.75)	6.9% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Radomiak will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 80.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Raków won 3.
Raków in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Radomiak is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Raków is certain favorite.
There will not play in Raków: Racovitan B. (Injury)
There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Inactive)
Our prediction for today's Raków to win the game is with odds 1.53.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Raków won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:7 (average 1.6:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Raków won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 2.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Radomiak Radom?

Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Raków Częstochowa?

Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom were as follows:

05.10.2024 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 0:2

05.04.2024 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 2:1

01.10.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 3:0

10.04.2023 Radomiak Radom - Raków Częstochowa 0:0

17.09.2022 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 3:0

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

07.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺

31.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa 0:3 ✺

03.03.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk 3:1 ✺

21.02.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

05.04.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 1:3 ✺

14.03.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Cracovia - Radomiak Radom 1:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź 1:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball