Pogoń Szczecin vs Raków Częstochowa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa
Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 7
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.10
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
76% (256/338)82% (327/398)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.16
Total shots
818
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
1430
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
916
Passes
76% (256/338)82% (327/398)
Long passes
22% (13/59)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
58% (45/77)68% (78/114)
Crosses
33% (4/12)16% (6/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.200.71
Throw-ins
812
Fouls
1610
Tackles
79% (11/14)38% (3/8)
Duels won
3653
Clearances
419
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.161.56
Goals prevented
0.16-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Svarnas S. , Adriano ,
  • 32', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Diaz J. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 46', Barath P. , Repka O. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Grosicki K. ,
  • 58', Rocha L. , Brunes J. ,
  • 63', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 64', Smolinski K. , Greenwood S. ,
  • 64', Kostorz K. , Mukairu P. ,
  • 67', Bieganski J. 🟨,
  • 72', Grosicki K. , Pozo J. ,
  • 73', Lopez I. , Pienko T. ,
  • 80', Przyborek A. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 80', Bieganski J. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 84', Tudor F. 🟨,
  • 84', Juwara M. 🟨,
  • 86', Adriano 🟨,
  • 90+1', Huja M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
30.2%
Draw
28.5%
Raków Częstochowa
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 29% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 28.8% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.72)
    3.28
    (3.2)
    2.29
    (2.52)
    6.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 16.4%61.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
    • Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Koulouris E. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J. (Injury) Ulvestad F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:0
    20.10.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    11.05.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1
    12.11.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:1
    05.03.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Cracovia742113:9414
    3Gornik Zabrze740310:5512
    4Jagiellonia540112:9312
    5Korona Kielce732210:7311
    6Lech Poznan531110:10010
    7Pogon Szczecin731311:13-210
    8Radomiak Radom722313:1218
    9Termalica B-B722310:1008
    10Motor Lublin62226:9-38
    11Arka Gdynia72235:8-38
    12Legia52126:427
    13Widzew Lodz72149:907
    14GKS Katowice721410:15-57
    15Zaglebie613212:1026
    16Rakow52036:9-36
    17Piast Gliwice50322:5-33
    18Lechia Gdansk712412:19-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
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