Pogoń Szczecin vs Raków Częstochowa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa
Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 29
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.27
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
84% (399/476)71% (179/252)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.460.00
Total shots
185
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
2610
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
84% (399/476)71% (179/252)
Long passes
41% (19/46)30% (10/33)
Passes in final third
75% (140/186)51% (33/65)
Crosses
34% (10/29)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.18
Fouls
1313
Tackles
69% (9/13)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4037
Clearances Total
2028
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.001.46
Goals prevented
0.000.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Otieno E. 🟥,
  • 24', Leo Borges 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Wahlqvist L. , Kurzawa R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 59', Svarnas S. 🟨,
  • 61', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 61', Lopez I. , Diaz J. ,
  • 68', Przyborek A. , Wedrychowski M. ,
  • 76', Brunes J. , Makuch P. ,
  • 76', Kochergin V. , Barath P. ,
  • 82', Arsenic Z. , Rodin M. ,
  • 82', Koutris L. , Lisowski W. ,
  • 82', Adriano , Rocha L. ,
  • 88', Grosicki K. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 89', Barath P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
33%
Draw
29.6%
Raków Częstochowa
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 30% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 30% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.69)
    3.19
    (3.13)
    2.53
    (2.66)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Raków will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 0.
    • Pogoń Szczecin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Raków in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Malec M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Inactive) Racovitan B. (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Szczecin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0
    11.05.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1
    12.11.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:1
    05.03.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    09.11.2022 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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