Pogoń Szczecin vs Raków Częstochowa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 29
Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	0.27
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
18	5
Shots on target
8	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
13	2
Passes
84% (399/476)	71% (179/252)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	0.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	0.00
Total shots
18	5
Shots on target
8	0
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
11	3
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
13	2
Touches in opposition box
26	10
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
84% (399/476)	71% (179/252)
Long passes
41% (19/46)	30% (10/33)
Passes in final third
75% (140/186)	51% (33/65)
Crosses
34% (10/29)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	0.18
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
69% (9/13)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
40	37
Clearances Total
20	28
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	7
xGOT faced
0.00	1.46
Goals prevented
0.00	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Otieno E. 🟥,
24', Leo Borges 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Wahlqvist L. ⚽, Kurzawa R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Lopez I. 🟨,
59', Svarnas S. 🟨,
61', Silva J. 🟨,
61', Lopez I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
68', Przyborek A. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
76', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
76', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
82', Arsenic Z. ↓, Rodin M. ↑,
82', Koutris L. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
82', Adriano ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
88', Grosicki K. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
89', Barath P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Pogoń Szczecin
33%

Draw
29.6%

Raków Częstochowa
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.69)	3.19 ↑ (3.13)	2.53 ↓ (2.66)	6% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Raków will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 9.6% – 70.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 0.
Pogoń Szczecin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Raków in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Malec M. (Injury)
There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Inactive) Racovitan B. (Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.5:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Szczecin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.7:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Raków Częstochowa?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Raków Częstochowa has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:

20.10.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0

11.05.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1

12.11.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:1

05.03.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2

09.11.2022 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 0:1

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

13.04.2025 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice 4:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3 ✺

28.03.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 0:0 ✺

14.03.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 5:2 ✺

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

12.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 2:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa 1:1 ✺

31.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa 0:3 ✺

03.03.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk 3:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 9
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball