Raków Częstochowa vs Legia Warsaw: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa).

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 25
Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.89	1.50
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Goal Attempts
16	11
Shots on Goal
6	7
Shots off Goal
6	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
7	5
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
Free Kicks
13	15
Offsides
5	1
Fouls
15	13
Yellow Cards
2	2
Throw-ins
15	17
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	20
Passes
81% (305/378)	80% (325/406)
Passes in the final third
68% (62/91)	75% (103/138)
Crosses
33% (7/21)	7% (1/14)
Tackles
60% (9/15)	83% (10/12)
Clearances Total
14	37
Interceptions
8	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Svarnas S. ⚽, Lopez I. (A),
23', Silva J. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Brunes J. ⚽, Berggren G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 3 - 0, Adriano ⚽,
51', 3 - 1, Gual M. ⚽,
54', Shkurin I. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
54', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
63', Lopez I. 🟨,
66', Feio G. 🟨,
76', Adriano ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
76', Lopez I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
83', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
83', Silva J. ↓, Mosor A. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Luquinhas ⚽, Vinagre R. (A),
88', Morishita R. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
88', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
89', Urbanski W. 🟨,
90+1', Kochergin V. ↓, Rundic M. ↑,
90+5', Pankov R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Raków Częstochowa
47.4%

Draw
28.1%

Legia Warsaw
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.6%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.25)	3.33 ↑ (3.28)	3.85 ↑ (3.11)	6.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Raków won 2.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Raków is a favorite.
There will not play in Raków: Barath P. (Yellow Cards) Racovitan B. (Injury)
There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R. (Yellow Cards) Kobylak G. (Inactive) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Inactive)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Raków won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:24 (average 1.4:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Raków won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Legia Warsaw?

Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Raków Częstochowa?

Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw were as follows:

15.09.2024 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 0:1

13.04.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1

08.10.2023 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:2

15.07.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 0:1

02.05.2023 Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa 1:0

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

08.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa 0:3 ✺

03.03.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk 3:1 ✺

21.02.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze 1:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa 0:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

13.03.2025 Legia Warsaw - Molde 2:0 ✺

10.03.2025 Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw 3:3 ✺

06.03.2025 Molde - Legia Warsaw 3:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław 3:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	33	21	4	8	67:31	36	67
2	Rakow	33	19	9	5	49:22	27	66
3	Jagiellonia	33	17	9	7	55:41	14	60
4	Pogon Szczecin	33	17	6	10	58:39	19	57
5	Legia	33	15	8	10	58:43	15	53
6	Cracovia	33	13	9	11	56:52	4	48
7	Motor Lublin	33	13	7	13	45:57	-12	46
8	Gornik Zabrze	33	13	7	13	42:38	4	46
9	GKS Katowice	33	13	7	13	46:45	1	46
10	Piast Gliwice	33	11	12	10	37:35	2	45
11	Korona Kielce	33	11	11	11	36:44	-8	44
12	Radomiak Radom	33	11	8	14	46:49	-3	41
13	Widzew Lodz	32	10	7	15	35:47	-12	37
14	Lechia Gdansk	33	10	7	16	42:56	-14	37
15	Zaglebie	33	10	6	17	32:49	-17	36
16	Stal Mielec ✔	33	7	9	17	37:54	-17	30
17	Slask Wroclaw ✔	33	6	11	16	37:52	-15	29
18	Puszcza ✔	32	6	9	17	36:60	-24	27

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
Slask Wroclaw is Relegated to Division 1
Puszcza is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball