Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 33
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.62
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
619
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
59% (128/217)86% (444/518)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.460.94
Total shots
619
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
212
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
1348
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
67
Passes
59% (128/217)86% (444/518)
Long passes
26% (18/68)59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
43% (22/51)78% (141/180)
Crosses
67% (2/3)30% (12/40)
Expected assists (xA)
0.171.18
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
76
Tackles
76% (13/17)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
427
Interceptions
917
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.940.46
Goals prevented
-0.06-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Malarczyk P. , Sotiriou K. ,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Dlugosz W. , Shikavka Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Brunes J. (Pen),
  • 63', Makuch P. , Rocha L. ,
  • 63', Otieno E. , Silva J. ,
  • 64', Shikavka Y. , Bak D. ,
  • 65', Strzeboński M. , Godinho M. ,
  • 65', Dlugosz W. , Zwozny H. ,
  • 72', Adriano 🟨,
  • 74', Diaz J. , Lopez I. ,
  • 74', Adriano , Plavsic S. ,
  • 77', Fornalczyk M. , Chojecki A. ,
  • 80', Kochergin V. , Barath P. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Mamla R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Zwozny H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bak D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
14%
Draw
22%
Raków Częstochowa
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 23.7% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1% 25% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce's form might have worsened.
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.61
    (4.9)
    4.29
    (3.96)
    1.48
    (1.64)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is Raków Częstochowa will win! (9 of 11 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
    • Korona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Raków's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Korona: Dalmau A. (Injury) Hofmayster Y. (Injury) Konstantyn J. (Inactive) Nagamatsu S. (Injury) Nono (Yellow Cards) Pedro N. (Inactive) Remacle M. (Inactive) Sotiriou K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Muscle Injury) Racovitan B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Korona: Matuszewski K. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Korona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce 1:1
    13.03.2024 Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    17.12.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce 1:0
    07.05.2023 Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa 1:0
    22.10.2022 Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce 1:0
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan33214867:313667
    2Rakow33199549:222766
    3Jagiellonia33179755:411460
    4Pogon Szczecin331761058:391957
    5Legia331581058:431553
    6Cracovia331391156:52448
    7Motor Lublin331371345:57-1246
    8Gornik Zabrze331371342:38446
    9GKS Katowice331371346:45146
    10Piast Gliwice3311121037:35245
    11Korona Kielce3311111136:44-844
    12Radomiak Radom331181446:49-341
    13Widzew Lodz321071535:47-1237
    14Lechia Gdansk331071642:56-1437
    15Zaglebie331061732:49-1736
    16Stal Mielec ✔ 33791737:54-1730
    17Slask Wroclaw ✔ 336111637:52-1529
    18Puszcza ✔ 32691736:60-2427

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
    Slask Wroclaw is Relegated to Division 1
    Puszcza is Relegated to Division 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
    slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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