Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 33
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.62
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
619
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
59% (128/217)86% (444/518)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.460.94
Total shots
619
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
212
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
1348
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
67
Passes
59% (128/217)86% (444/518)
Long passes
26% (18/68)59% (26/44)
Passes in final third
43% (22/51)78% (141/180)
Crosses
67% (2/3)30% (12/40)
Expected assists (xA)
0.171.18
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
76
Tackles
76% (13/17)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
427
Interceptions
917
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.940.46
Goals prevented
-0.06-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Malarczyk P. , Sotiriou K. ,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Dlugosz W. , Shikavka Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 1, Brunes J. (Pen),
  • 63', Makuch P. , Rocha L. ,
  • 63', Otieno E. , Silva J. ,
  • 64', Shikavka Y. , Bak D. ,
  • 65', Strzeboński M. , Godinho M. ,
  • 65', Dlugosz W. , Zwozny H. ,
  • 72', Adriano 🟨,
  • 74', Diaz J. , Lopez I. ,
  • 74', Adriano , Plavsic S. ,
  • 77', Fornalczyk M. , Chojecki A. ,
  • 80', Kochergin V. , Barath P. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Mamla R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Zwozny H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bak D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
14%
Draw
22%
Raków Częstochowa
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.1% 23.7% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1% 25% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce's form might have worsened.
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.61
    (4.9)
    4.29
    (3.96)
    1.48
    (1.64)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 50%). Raków (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
    • Korona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Raków's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Korona: Dalmau A. (Injury) Hofmayster Y. (Injury) Konstantyn J. (Inactive) Nagamatsu S. (Injury) Nono (Yellow Cards) Pedro N. (Inactive) Remacle M. (Inactive) Sotiriou K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Muscle Injury) Racovitan B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Korona: Matuszewski K. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Korona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce 1:1
    13.03.2024 Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa 0:2
    17.12.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce 1:0
    07.05.2023 Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa 1:0
    22.10.2022 Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce 1:0
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
    slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
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