Ayr United vs Raith Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Result
0:1

09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

: Championship - Round 2
Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)

Ayr United - Raith Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+

00:00 / 90:00

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Match Stats


Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
5	5
Corner Kicks
6	5
Yellow Cards
3	0
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
4	8
Corner Kicks
6	5
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Easton D. ⚽,
24', Dick L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Walker E. 🟨,
65', Bonnar J. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
65', Walker E. ↓, Main C. ↑,
68', McMullan P. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
68', Easton D. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
79', Rus M. ↓, Hastie J. ↑,
89', Brown S. ↓, Montagu K. ↑,
90+3', McAllister N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ayr United
36.9%

Draw
30.9%

Raith Rovers
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raith Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ayr United - Raith Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.23)	3.25 ↑ (3.03)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	-0% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Ayr United - Raith Rovers?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Raith will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 3.
Ayr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Raith has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ayr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ayr might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Raith Rovers were as follows:

05.04.2025 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 1:0

04.01.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 3:0

01.11.2024 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 2:0

08.09.2024 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 3:2

24.08.2024 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 2:0

Latest results of Ayr United

01.08.2025 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 St. Mirren - Ayr United 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Ayr United - Forfar Athletic 3:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Ayr United - Arbroath 4:0 ✺

15.07.2025 Annan Athletic - Ayr United 1:6 ✺

Latest results of Raith Rovers

02.08.2025 Raith Rovers - Queens Park 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Raith Rovers - Inverness 5:1 ✺

22.07.2025 St. Johnstone - Raith Rovers 3:1 ✺

15.07.2025 Raith Rovers - East Kilbride 2:4 ✺

12.07.2025 Elgin City - Raith Rovers 1:5 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Arbroath	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
3	Dunfermline	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
4	Raith	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
5	Morton	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
6	Ross County	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
7	Ayr	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
8	Airdrieonians	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
9	Queen's Park	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
10	Partick Thistle	2	0	1	1	2:6	-4	1

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Ayr United - Raith Rovers?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media