Stal Mielec vs Radomiak Radom: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 33
Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.63
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
85% (434/510)	83% (328/393)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.52	0.92
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
19	21
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
22	3
Passes
85% (434/510)	83% (328/393)
Long passes
52% (31/60)	53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
68% (82/121)	74% (82/111)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.45	1.09
Throw-ins
17	16
Fouls
3	22
Tackles
80% (8/10)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
47	43
Clearances
22	17
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.92	2.52
Goals prevented
-0.08	0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Henrique P. ⚽, Alves R. (A),
43', Zie Ouattara 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Cavaleiro I. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zie Ouattara ↓, Kingue S. ↑,
46', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
46', Bukowski A. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
61', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Getinger K. ↑,
62', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
63', Barbosa R. ↓, Capita ↑,
63', Ramos F. ↓, Jordao B. ↑,
72', Tapsoba A. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Guillaumier M. ⚽, Wolsztynski L. (A),
79', Donis C. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Wlazlo P. (Own goal),
84', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Niedzwiedz N. ↑,
90+4', Capita 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stal Mielec
37.6%

Draw
28.3%

Radomiak Radom
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.6%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.49)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	2.76 ↑ (2.73)	6.4% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Radomiak will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 12).
Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury) Pajnowski K. (Inactive) Tkacz D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury) Guilherme (Inactive) Snopczynski J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Radomiak Radom?

Stal Mielec has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Stal Mielec?

Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom were as follows:

24.11.2024 Radomiak Radom - Stal Mielec 1:2

04.03.2024 Radomiak Radom - Stal Mielec 2:1

25.08.2023 Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom 2:0

05.02.2023 Radomiak Radom - Stal Mielec 1:0

Latest results of Stal Mielec

12.05.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Mielec 2:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

28.04.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec 2:2 ✺

22.04.2025 Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze 0:0 ✺

14.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

10.05.2025 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom 0:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 2:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 7, Arena Sport 8
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball