Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Szczecin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

10/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 32
Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.00
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	10
Passes
67% (149/223)	81% (352/433)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.91	0.39
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	10
Touches in opposition box
21	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
67% (149/223)	81% (352/433)
Long passes
27% (12/44)	33% (9/27)
Passes in final third
52% (31/60)	66% (101/154)
Crosses
56% (9/16)	16% (5/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.79	1.14
Throw-ins
24	18
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
69% (11/16)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
56	53
Clearances
48	33
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.39	1.91
Goals prevented
0.39	-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Burch M. ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
18', Koulouris E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Przyborek A. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
61', Ulvestad F. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
72', Dadashov R. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
72', Donis C. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
72', Gamboa J. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
84', Kurzawa R. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
84', Alves R. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
84', Keramitsis D. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
88', Jordao B. ↓, Ramos F. ↑,
89', Grzesik J. ↓, Wolski R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Henrique P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Radomiak Radom
31.5%

Draw
26.6%

Pogoń Szczecin
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

26.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.25 ↑ (2.23)	6.5% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2.
Radomiak has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pogoń Szczecin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Pogoń Szczecin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury) Snopczynski J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Red Card) Loncar D. (Yellow Cards) Malec M. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Radomiak Radom?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:

08.11.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom 0:1

16.02.2024 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 0:4

13.08.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom 0:2

27.05.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom 4:0

13.11.2022 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

04.05.2025 Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom 0:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Radomiak Radom 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

02.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw 3:4 ✺

25.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 4:5 ✺

19.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice 4:0 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	33	21	4	8	67:31	36	67
2	Rakow	33	19	9	5	49:22	27	66
3	Jagiellonia	33	17	9	7	55:41	14	60
4	Pogon Szczecin	33	17	6	10	58:39	19	57
5	Legia	33	15	8	10	58:43	15	53
6	Cracovia	33	13	9	11	56:52	4	48
7	Motor Lublin	33	13	7	13	45:57	-12	46
8	Gornik Zabrze	33	13	7	13	42:38	4	46
9	GKS Katowice	33	13	7	13	46:45	1	46
10	Piast Gliwice	33	11	12	10	37:35	2	45
11	Korona Kielce	33	11	11	11	36:44	-8	44
12	Radomiak Radom	33	11	8	14	46:49	-3	41
13	Widzew Lodz	32	10	7	15	35:47	-12	37
14	Lechia Gdansk	33	10	7	16	42:56	-14	37
15	Zaglebie	33	10	6	17	32:49	-17	36
16	Stal Mielec ✔	33	7	9	17	37:54	-17	30
17	Slask Wroclaw ✔	33	6	11	16	37:52	-15	29
18	Puszcza ✔	32	6	9	17	36:60	-24	27

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
Slask Wroclaw is Relegated to Division 1
Puszcza is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball