Racing Santander vs Málaga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Racing Santander - Málaga
Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 8
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
Racing Santander - Málaga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.48
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
83% (404/486)81% (298/370)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.140.48
xG on target (xGOT)
4.160.99
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3024
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
83% (404/486)81% (298/370)
Long passes
50% (22/44)48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
68% (97/143)58% (44/76)
Crosses
42% (8/19)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.921.00
Throw-ins
2514
Fouls
1615
Tackles
64% (9/14)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4256
Clearances
1617
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.994.16
Goals prevented
0.991.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Montero J. 🟥,
  • 45+2', Sangalli M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Mantilla A. , Michelin C. ,
  • 57', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
  • 60', Lobete J. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. , Sangalli M. (A),
  • 67', Villalibre A. , Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 67', Aldasoro A. , Puerta G. ,
  • 74', 2 - 0, Jeremy Arevalo , Salinas J. (A),
  • 75', Chupe , Ochoa A. ,
  • 75', Garcia V. , Jauregi E. ,
  • 82', Gabilondo J. , Rafita ,
  • 82', Rodriguez R. , Brasanac D. ,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Martin A. , Vicente I. (A),
  • 86', Martin A. , Camara S. ,
  • 86', Vicente I. , Sainz-Maza I. ,

Chances of winning


Racing Santander
50.5%
Draw
25.7%
Málaga
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.5% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Racing Santander - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.83)
    3.64
    (3.72)
    3.92
    (4.16)
    6.5%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Málaga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Málaga is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Puerta G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Red Card) Luismi (Face Injury) Merino I. (International duty) Munoz J. (Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Santander - Málaga were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 2:1
    23.11.2024 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:0
    05.03.2023 Málaga - Racing Santander 0:1
    01.10.2022 Racing Santander - Málaga 0:0
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    Latest results of Málaga
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1
    21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1
    13.09.2025 Huesca - Málaga 1:0
    06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cadiz CF953110:6418
    2Dep. La Coruna944117:9816
    3Racing Santander951322:16616
    4Valladolid943210:6415
    5Las Palmas94328:5315
    6Almeria943218:16215
    7Andorra1043313:13015
    8Ceuta1043310:12-215
    9Huesca94148:11-313
    10Burgos CF933313:10312
    11Eibar933310:7312
    12Castellon933313:12112
    13Gijon940513:15-212
    14Cordoba933310:12-212
    15Leganes92528:7111
    16Malaga93249:10-111
    17Albacete924314:16-210
    18Granada CF1024411:15-410
    19Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    20Mirandes102359:14-59
    21Cultural Leonesa92257:13-68
    22Zaragoza91356:12-66

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Racing Santander - Málaga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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