Progreso vs Racing Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Progreso - Racing Montevideo
Result
0:1
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
Progreso - Racing Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
44
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
116
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Total shots
44
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
116
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Ramirez S. ,
  • 22', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 24', Pereira A. 🟨,
  • 33', Caceres M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Silvera F. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 46', Colombino A. , Viera M. ,
  • 57', Ramirez S. , Bosca J. ,
  • 58', Bosca J. 🟨,
  • 59', Copelotti M. , Lopez P. ,
  • 64', Espinosa Dovat T. N. , Bueno G. ,
  • 69', Moreira A. 🟨,
  • 70', Moreira A. , Sosa F. ,
  • 71', Garcia A. , Silva G. ,
  • 89', Caceres M. , Loprete L. ,
  • 89', Da Silva E. , Severo A. ,
  • 90+5', Gentilio N. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Pereira A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
28.2%
Draw
28.7%
Racing Montevideo
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 27.9% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 28% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Progreso - Racing Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (2.8)
    3.23
    (3.3)
    2.15
    (2.35)
    7.8%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 2.
    • Recent matches Progreso is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Racing is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Progreso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Racing will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Progreso won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:18 (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Racing Montevideo - Progreso 1:0
    07.07.2024 Progreso - Racing Montevideo 3:2
    10.03.2024 Progreso - Racing Montevideo 4:3
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Torneo Intermedio

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol32106:157
    2Wanderers32104:227
    3Defensor Sp32015:6-16
    4Liverpool M31203:215
    5CA Cerro31112:204
    6Plaza Colonia30212:4-22
    7Cerro Largo30124:6-21
    8River Plate30031:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Danubio33006:249
    2Nacional33005:239
    3Racing Montevideo32014:226
    4Juventud32017:616
    5Progreso31021:2-13
    6Boston River31024:6-23
    7Montevideo City30035:8-30
    8Miramar30030:4-40

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