Racing Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers
Result
1:0 penalties
05/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.74
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1113
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
55
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
110
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
118
Offsides
12
Fouls
811
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
2034
Touches in the Opposition Box
1522
Passes
54% (117/218)63% (189/302)
Passes in the final third
45% (38/84)47% (47/101)
Crosses
21% (3/14)45% (10/22)
Tackles
55% (16/29)53% (10/19)
Clearances Total
4647
Interceptions
89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Varela J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Caceres M. , Severo A. ,
  • 66', Zeballos J. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 67', Espinosa Dovat T. N. , Ferreira M. ,
  • 69', Teuten A. 🟨,
  • 72', Teuten A. , Viudez T. ,
  • 75', Varela J. , Cairus F. ,
  • 77', Cotugno G. 🟨,
  • 83', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. , Suarez M. ,
  • 83', Crucci E. , Royon N. ,
  • 83', Queiroz N. , Veglio B. ,
  • 84', Da Silva E. , Tomatis B. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Sosa S. (Pen),
  • 1, Veglio B. (Pen),
  • 2, Ferreira M. (Pen),
  • 2, Lima P. (Pen),
  • 3, Pereira A. (Pen),
  • 3, Viudez T. (Pen),
  • 4, Severo A. (Pen),
  • 4, Royon N. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing Montevideo
42.4%
Draw
29.9%
Montevideo Wanderers
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 30.4% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 30.3% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.
  • Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.66)
    3.11
    (3.07)
    3.39
    (2.72)
    6.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 4
  • What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 13.8%69.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 2.
    • Racing is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Wanderers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Racing will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Racing won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo 0:0
    07.09.2024 Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 0:1
    20.07.2024 Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 0:1
    23.02.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo 0:1
    24.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo 1:2
    Latest results of Racing Montevideo
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 2
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    ecuadorEcuadorDSports 2
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyComo TV
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter
    worldWorldDirecTV Sports, Disney+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan