Racing Louisville vs Utah Royals: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer NWSL Racing Louisville - Utah Royals
Result
3:2
06/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
  • Referee: Monroy A. (Usa)
Racing Louisville - Utah Royals - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.08
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
109
Passes
70% (191/272)79% (272/345)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.841.24
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
169
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
109
Touches in opposition box
3613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
70% (191/272)79% (272/345)
Long passes
42% (14/33)31% (15/49)
Passes in final third
65% (80/123)64% (47/73)
Crosses
50% (12/24)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.47
Throw-ins
3120
Fouls
1215
Tackles
58% (7/12)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
2336
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
66
xGOT faced
1.242.84
Goals prevented
-0.76-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Mozingo B. ,
  • 9', 1 - 1, Sears E. , O'Kane K. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 1, Jean E. , Beckie (A),
  • 32', 2 - 2, St.Georges B. , Del Fava K. (A),
  • 45+2', Tejada Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', St.Georges B. 🟨,
  • 65', Beckie , Hase E. ,
  • 65', St.Georges B. , Solorzano A. ,
  • 65', Thomsen J. , Monaghan P. ,
  • 68', Sears E. 🟨,
  • 72', Rabano N. 🟨,
  • 74', Tejada Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 76', Rabano N. , Pogarch M. ,
  • 76', Tanaka M. , Foederer D. ,
  • 82', O'Kane K. , DiGrande M. ,
  • 85', Sentnor A. , Cluff M. ,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Weber S. , Petersen C. (A),
  • 87', Sears E. , Kanu U. ,
  • 87', Weber S. , Ary Borges ,
  • 90+1', Demelo S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Racing Louisville
42.2%
Draw
27.7%
Utah Royals
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27.1% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.2% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Louisville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Louisville's form might have worsened.
  • Utah Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utah Royals's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Louisville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Royals than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utah Royals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Racing Louisville - Utah Royals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.9)
    3.29
    (3.37)
    3.02
    (3.67)
    9.8%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Racing Louisville - Utah Royals?
  • Users Predictions: Racing Louisville will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing Louisville will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Racing Louisville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Utah has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Racing Louisville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Louisville - Utah Royals were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Utah Royals - Racing Louisville 1:0
    20.04.2024 Racing Louisville - Utah Royals 5:1
    Latest results of Racing Louisville
    Latest results of Utah Royals
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W17141234:102443
    2Washington Spirit W1794428:24431
    3San Diego Wave W1685328:181029
    4Orlando Pride W1784522:13928
    5Portland Thorns W1775525:19626
    6Seattle Reign W1674524:20425
    7Racing Louisville W1664622:27-522
    8Gotham W1756620:16421
    9North Carolina Courage W1756623:26-321
    10Angel City W1755722:27-520
    11Houston Dash W1653819:26-718
    12Bay FC W1745820:25-517
    13Chicago W1717918:35-1710
    14Utah Royals W17151112:31-198

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Racing Louisville - Utah Royals?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    usaUsaNWSL+ app, Paramount+
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