Racing Louisville vs Portland Thorns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer NWSL Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns
Result
1:2
05/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.601.83
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2515
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
73% (218/300)81% (294/364)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.601.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.883.88
Total shots
2515
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
113
Shots inside the Box
1712
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
73% (218/300)81% (294/364)
Long passes
41% (17/41)39% (17/44)
Passes in final third
60% (74/123)68% (61/90)
Crosses
14% (4/29)69% (9/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.82
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
1712
Tackles
65% (11/17)65% (11/17)
Duels won
3850
Clearances
835
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
3.881.88
Goals prevented
2.880.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, O'Kane K. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Dufour J. ,
  • 36', Dufour J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Coffey S. (Pen),
  • 64', Dufour J. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 64', Torpey K. , Mckenzie M. ,
  • 70', O'Kane K. , DiGrande M. ,
  • 75', Perry J. 🟨,
  • 78', Hase E. , Morris M. ,
  • 87', Dufour J. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 89', Alidou d'Anjou M. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Jean E. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', Weber S. , Balcer B. ,
  • 90+3', Turner R. , Sugita H. ,
  • 90+4', Demelo S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Racing Louisville
32.6%
Draw
25.9%
Portland Thorns
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 28.7% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 27.8% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Louisville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Louisville than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (3.03)
    3.59
    (3.17)
    2.23
    (2.21)
    7.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 2.
    • Recent performances by Racing Louisville have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portland Thorns has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Racing Louisville won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing Louisville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Portland Thorns - Racing Louisville 3:3
    19.10.2024 Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns 1:0
    30.03.2024 Portland Thorns - Racing Louisville 2:2
    02.09.2023 Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns 2:1
    22.04.2023 Portland Thorns - Racing Louisville 2:0
    Latest results of Racing Louisville
    Latest results of Portland Thorns
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W ✔ 23192245:113459
    2Washington Spirit W23127439:281143
    3Gotham W2398631:181335
    4Portland Thorns W2397732:28434
    5Seattle Reign W2397728:26234
    6Orlando Pride W2396828:24433
    7Racing Louisville W2395931:35-432
    8San Diego Wave W2387831:29231
    9North Carolina Courage W2377929:35-628
    10Houston Dash W23761026:35-927
    11Angel City W23661128:37-924
    12Utah Royals W23571124:37-1322
    13Bay FC W23471224:35-1119
    14Chicago W232101128:46-1816

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Racing Louisville - Portland Thorns?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4
    nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
    usaUsaNSWL+, NWSL+ app
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