New South Wales vs Queensland Maroons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian State of Origin New South Wales - Queensland Maroons
Result
12:24
09/07/2025 at 06:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : State of Origin - Final
New South Wales - Queensland Maroons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
24
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
24
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
10080
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
218201
Metres Run With Ball
18551729

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 20)
  • 8', Holmes V. (Penalty Goal),
  • 18', Coates X. (Try),
  • 19', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Dearden T. (Try),
  • 28', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Grant H. (Try),
  • 40', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 4)
  • 56', Crichton S. (Try),
  • 57', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Dearden T. (Try),
  • 75', Holmes V. (Missed Conversion),
  • 80', To'o B. (Try),
  • 80', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


New South Wales
67.2%
Draw
4.2%
Queensland Maroons
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 4.2% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New South Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Queensland Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • New South Wales - Queensland Maroons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.41)
    22
    (22.33)
    3.25
    (3.13)
    7.8%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 40.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New South Wales won 3.
    • In this match, New South Wales is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New South Wales won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 450:328. (average 22.5:16.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New South Wales won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 202:144. (average 25.3:18).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New South Wales - Queensland Maroons were as follows:
    18.06.2025 Queensland Maroons - New South Wales 26:24
    28.05.2025 Queensland Maroons - New South Wales 6:18
    17.07.2024 Queensland Maroons - New South Wales 4:14
    26.06.2024 New South Wales - Queensland Maroons 38:18
    05.06.2024 New South Wales - Queensland Maroons 10:38
    Latest results of New South Wales
    Latest results of Queensland Maroons
    Draw
    2025

    Final
    1QueenslandNew South Wales24 : 12, 26 : 24, 6 : 18
    Which TV channels are streaming of New South Wales - Queensland Maroons?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaKayo Sports, NRL
    franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
    germanyGermanySportdigital1+
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+
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    bet365
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