Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Home Park (Plymouth).

: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
5.47	1.20
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
30	6
Shots on target
10	4
Big Chances
7	3
Corner Kicks
15	2
Passes
88% (512/585)	69% (190/274)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
5.47	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
4.96	1.76
Total shots
30	6
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
13	1
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
24	4
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
7	3
Corner Kicks
15	2
Touches in opposition box
43	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
17	8
Passes
88% (512/585)	69% (190/274)
Long passes
55% (28/51)	31% (15/49)
Passes in final third
81% (177/218)	43% (23/53)
Crosses
33% (12/36)	50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.53	1.03
Throw-ins
29	23
Fouls
8	17
Tackles
72% (13/18)	52% (12/23)
Duels won
63	47
Clearances
10	45
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	7
xGOT faced
1.76	4.96
Goals prevented
-0.24	1.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Bennie D. ⚽,
26', Paterson J. (Pen),
38', Sutton E. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Kolli R. ⚽, Vale H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Burrell R. ↓, Dillon C. ↑,
46', Sutton E. ↓, Talla L. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Wiredu B. ⚽, Palsson V. (A),
54', 2 - 2, Oseni O. ⚽, Benarous A. (A),
57', Ibrahim B. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
57', Hatch J. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
65', Finn T. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
65', Szucs K. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
78', 3 - 2, Oseni O. ⚽, Watts C. (A),
80', Oseni O. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
86', Pearman J. ↓, Trujillo A. ↑,
86', Putman J. ↓, Brunson K. ↑,
90', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Tarbotton T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Plymouth Argyle
45%

Draw
29.5%

Queens Park Rangers
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.6%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

27.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queens Park Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.82)	3.38 (3.38)	4 ↑ (2.37)	-1.9% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). QPR will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, QPR has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Queens Park Rangers?

Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Plymouth Argyle?

Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:

18.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers 0:1

24.08.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle 1:1

09.04.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers 1:1

13.12.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle 0:0

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

09.08.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley 1:3 ✺

26.07.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City 0:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Torquay United - Plymouth Argyle 0:6 ✺

16.07.2025 Truro City - Plymouth Argyle 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Queens Park Rangers

09.08.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Preston North End 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Brentford 0:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Heerenveen 2:2 ✺

23.07.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Toulouse - Queens Park Rangers 1:2 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd

Which TV channels are streaming of Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+