Plymouth Argyle vs Queens Park Rangers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers
Result
3:2
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
5.471.20
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
306
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
152
Passes
88% (512/585)69% (190/274)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
5.471.20
xG on target (xGOT)
4.961.76
Total shots
306
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
131
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
244
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
152
Touches in opposition box
437
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
178
Passes
88% (512/585)69% (190/274)
Long passes
55% (28/51)31% (15/49)
Passes in final third
81% (177/218)43% (23/53)
Crosses
33% (12/36)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.531.03
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
817
Tackles
72% (13/18)52% (12/23)
Duels won
6347
Clearances
1045
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.764.96
Goals prevented
-0.241.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Bennie D. ,
  • 26', Paterson J. (Pen),
  • 38', Sutton E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Kolli R. , Vale H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Burrell R. , Dillon C. ,
  • 46', Sutton E. , Talla L. ,
  • 48', 1 - 2, Wiredu B. , Palsson V. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 2, Oseni O. , Benarous A. (A),
  • 57', Ibrahim B. , Watts C. ,
  • 57', Hatch J. , Mumba B. ,
  • 65', Finn T. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 65', Szucs K. , Sorinola M. ,
  • 78', 3 - 2, Oseni O. , Watts C. (A),
  • 80', Oseni O. , Pepple A. ,
  • 86', Pearman J. , Trujillo A. ,
  • 86', Putman J. , Brunson K. ,
  • 90', Dixon-Bonner E. , Tarbotton T. ,

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
45%
Draw
29.5%
Queens Park Rangers
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 27.6% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 27.3% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.
  • Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Queens Park Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.82)
    3.38
    (3.38)
    4
    (2.37)
    -1.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). QPR will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, QPR has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers 0:1
    24.08.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    09.04.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers 1:1
    13.12.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Plymouth Argyle 0:0
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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