Middlesbrough vs Queens Park Rangers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough).

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 37
Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.04
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
16	9
Shots on Goal
5	5
Shots off Goal
6	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
Free Kicks
10	9
Offsides
3	3
Fouls
9	10
Throw-ins
24	25
Touches in the Opposition Box
23	13
Passes
85% (383/448)	86% (435/506)
Passes in the final third
74% (112/151)	64% (62/97)
Crosses
0% (0/7)	36% (5/14)
Tackles
76% (13/17)	71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
27	10
Interceptions
6	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Conway T. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
55', Chair I. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Dijksteel A. ⚽, Morris A. (A),
66', Frey M. ↓, Fox M. ↑,
66', Colback J. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
77', Conway T. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
77', Iheanacho K. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
78', Saito K. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Cook S. ⚽,
89', Burgzorg D. ↓, Barlaser D. ↑,
90+1', Azaz F. ↓, Giles R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Middlesbrough
50.9%

Draw
26.8%

Queens Park Rangers
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.7%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Middlesbrough's form might have worsened.

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Middlesbrough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.66)	3.57 ↓ (3.9)	4.25 ↓ (4.97)	4.8% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers?

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). QPR will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 55.3% – 85.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 3.
Recent matches Middlesbrough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
QPR is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Middlesbrough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) van den Berg R. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in QPR: Celar Z. (Knock) Clarke-Salter J. (Hip Injury) Field S. (Ankle Injury) Kolli R. (Leg Injury) Vale H. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33:29 (average 1.7:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Queens Park Rangers?

Middlesbrough has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Middlesbrough?

Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:

05.11.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough 1:4

09.03.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough 0:2

02.09.2023 Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers 0:2

18.02.2023 Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers 3:1

Latest results of Middlesbrough

08.03.2025 Swansea City - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Derby County 1:0 ✺

25.02.2025 Stoke City - Middlesbrough 1:3 ✺

21.02.2025 Bristol City - Middlesbrough 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Watford 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Queens Park Rangers

08.03.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield United 1:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺

14.02.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Derby County 4:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Coventry City - Queens Park Rangers 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+