Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/07/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao).

: FA Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	0.67
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
19	5
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
66% (210/316)	74% (363/490)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	0.94
Total shots
19	5
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
8	0
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
7	0
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
31	18
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
10	0
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
66% (210/316)	74% (363/490)
Long passes
25% (20/81)	44% (45/102)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)	49% (64/131)
Crosses
30% (9/30)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	0.75
Throw-ins
26	46
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
84% (21/25)	89% (17/19)
Duels won
64	62
Clearances
31	38
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.94	1.34
Goals prevented
-1.06	-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Zhang Yuning ↓, Abreu F. ↑,
36', Matheus Indio 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wang Gang ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
46', Wang Peng ↓, Duan Liuyu ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Wang Ziming ⚽,
58', Spajic U. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Yakubu A. ⚽,
65', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Guga ↑,
65', Spajic U. ↓, Wu Shaocong ↑,
90', Da Luz N. ↓, Iminqari M. ↑,
90', He Longhai ↓, Ding Haifeng ↑,
90+2', Wang Ziming ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
99', Zhang Chengdong ↓, Sun Jie ↑,
106', Chi Zhongguo ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
117', 1 - 2, Cao Yongjing ⚽, Ngadeu M. (A),
117', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
119', 2 - 2, Davidson ⚽, Ding Haifeng (A),
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Yakubu A. (Pen),
1, Abreu F. (Pen),
2, Matheus Indio (Pen),
2, Ngadeu M. (Pen),
3, Duan Liuyu (Pen),
3, Muhmet N. (Pen),
4, Ding Haifeng (Pen),
4, Dawhan (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Qingdao West Coast
25.4%

Draw
25.8%

Beijing Guoan
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

22.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.5%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao West Coast's performance.

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao West Coast that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (5.18)	3.79 ↓ (4.16)	2 ↑ (1.56)	2.3% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast (votes: 2 - 50%). Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Qingdao West Coast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Beijing Guoan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Beijing Guoan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Qingdao West Coast has had a series of away games.
In this match, Beijing Guoan is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao West Coast won against Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao West Coast has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Qingdao West Coast?

Beijing Guoan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan were as follows:

17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 1:0

11.08.2024 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 2:2

21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 4:1

26.07.2023 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 1:4

Latest results of Qingdao West Coast

18.07.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Qingdao Hainiu 1:0 ✺

25.06.2025 Changchun Yatai - Qingdao West Coast 1:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Dalian Kun City - Qingdao West Coast 0:2 ✺

17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Beijing Guoan

19.07.2025 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua 1:3 ✺

30.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun 2:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan 0:4 ✺

21.06.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan 1:2 ✺

17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 1:0 ✺

Draw

2025

1/64-finals

1	Quanzhou Yassin	Wenzhou Professional	2 : 3
2	Bye	Dalian K'un City
4	Bye	Changchun Yatai
5	Shenzhen Jixiang	Guangxi Lanhang	1 : 0
6	Bye	Yanbian Longding
8	Bye	Qingdao West Coast
9	Ningbo Fioren	Guangdong Mingtu	0 : 2
10	Bye	Shenzhen Juniors
12	Bye	Dalian Yingbo
13	Qingdao May Wind	Taian Tiankuang	1 : 5
14	Bye	Shijiazhuang Gongfu
16	Bye	Beijing Guoan
17	Wuhan Lianzhen	Shenzhen	0 : 1
18	Bye	Shaanxi Union
20	Bye	Wuhan Three Towns
21	Shanghai Segenda	Kunming City Star	1 : 0
22	Bye	Dingnan Ganlian
24	Bye	Yunnan Yukun
25	Chongqing Chunlei	Beijing Technology	1 : 0
26	Bye	Guangdong GZ-Power
28	Bye	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
29	Guangdong Shudihong	Guizhou Zhucheng	0 : 4
30	Bye	Foshan Nanshi
32	Bye	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
33	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	Lanzhou Longyuan	0 : 1
34	Bye	Liaoning Tieren
36	Bye	Qingdao Hainiu
37	Changchun Xidu	Guangxi Hengchen	0 : 1
38	Bye	Shanghai Jiading Huilong
40	Bye	Meizhou Hakka
41	Xiamen Chengyi	Jiangxi Lushan	0 : 3
42	Bye	Qingdao Red Lions
44	Bye	Shandong Taishan
45	Shanghai Changning	Nantong Haimen	0 : 3
46	Bye	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
48	Bye	Chengdu Rongcheng
49	Quanzhou Qinggong	Hangzhou Linping	1 : 0
50	Bye	Suzhou Dongwu
52	Bye	Shanghai Port
53	Shanghai Zetian	Wuxi Wugou	0 : 2
54	Bye	Nantong Zhiyun
56	Bye	Shanghai Shenhua
57	Shaanxi Northwest	Ganzhou Ruishi	4 : 1
58	Bye	Chongqing Tonglianglong
60	Bye	Henan Songshan Longmen
61	Guangzhou Dandelion	Hubei Istar	3 : 2
62	Bye	Nanjing City
64	Bye	Zhejiang Professional

1/32-finals

1	Wenzhou Professional	Dalian K'un City	0 : 3
2	Bye	Changchun Yatai
3	Shenzhen Jixiang	Yanbian Longding	0 : 1
4	Bye	Qingdao West Coast
5	Guangdong Mingtu	Shenzhen Juniors	2 : 3
6	Bye	Dalian Yingbo
7	Taian Tiankuang	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0 : 2
8	Bye	Beijing Guoan
9	Shenzhen	Shaanxi Union	0 : 4
10	Bye	Wuhan Three Towns
11	Shanghai Segenda	Dingnan Ganlian	0 : 2
12	Bye	Yunnan Yukun
13	Chongqing Chunlei	Guangdong GZ-Power	1 : 2
14	Bye	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
15	Guizhou Zhucheng	Foshan Nanshi	2 : 1
16	Bye	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
17	Lanzhou Longyuan	Liaoning Tieren	0 : 2
18	Bye	Qingdao Hainiu
19	Guangxi Hengchen	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	2 : 1
20	Bye	Meizhou Hakka
21	Jiangxi Lushan	Qingdao Red Lions	0 : 1
22	Bye	Shandong Taishan
23	Nantong Haimen	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0 : 1
24	Bye	Chengdu Rongcheng
25	Quanzhou Qinggong	Suzhou Dongwu	0 : 4
26	Bye	Shanghai Port
27	Wuxi Wugou	Nantong Zhiyun	2 : 0
28	Bye	Shanghai Shenhua
29	Shaanxi Northwest	Chongqing Tonglianglong	0 : 1
30	Bye	Henan Songshan Longmen
31	Guangzhou Dandelion	Nanjing City	1 : 0
32	Bye	Zhejiang Professional

1/16-finals

1	Dalian K'un City	Changchun Yatai	2 : 1
2	Yanbian Longding	Qingdao West Coast	0 : 2
3	Shenzhen Juniors	Dalian Yingbo	1 : 5
4	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	Beijing Guoan	0 : 5
5	Shaanxi Union	Wuhan Three Towns	2 : 1
6	Dingnan Ganlian	Yunnan Yukun	1 : 2
7	Guangdong GZ-Power	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	3 : 2
8	Guizhou Zhucheng	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0 : 1
9	Liaoning Tieren	Qingdao Hainiu	0 : 1
10	Guangxi Hengchen	Meizhou Hakka	2 : 1
11	Qingdao Red Lions	Shandong Taishan	0 : 5
12	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	Chengdu Rongcheng	0 : 3
13	Suzhou Dongwu	Shanghai Port	2 : 6
14	Wuxi Wugou	Shanghai Shenhua	0 : 3
15	Chongqing Tonglianglong	Henan Songshan Longmen	1 : 2
16	Guangzhou Dandelion	Zhejiang Professional	0 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Dalian K'un City	Qingdao West Coast	0 : 2
2	Dalian Yingbo	Beijing Guoan	1 : 2
3	Shaanxi Union	Yunnan Yukun	1 : 2
4	Guangdong GZ-Power	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2 : 0
5	Qingdao Hainiu	Guangxi Hengchen	2 : 1
6	Shandong Taishan	Chengdu Rongcheng	1 : 3
7	Shanghai Port	Shanghai Shenhua	2 : 3
8	Henan Songshan Longmen	Zhejiang Professional	3 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Qingdao West Coast	Beijing Guoan	2 : 3
2	Yunnan Yukun	Guangdong GZ-Power	3 : 0
3	Qingdao Hainiu	Chengdu Rongcheng	1 : 2
4	Shanghai Shenhua	Henan Songshan Longmen	3 : 4

Semi-finals

1	Beijing Guoan	Yunnan Yukun
2	Chengdu Rongcheng	Henan Songshan Longmen

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8