Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center (Qingdao).

: Super League - Round 21
Referee: Tang S. (Chn)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.04	1.06
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
73% (220/301)	86% (439/509)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04	1.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	1.79
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
3	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	3
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
20	24
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
7	0
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
73% (220/301)	86% (439/509)
Long passes
30% (18/60)	49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
57% (60/105)	69% (50/72)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	1.28
Throw-ins
22	24
Fouls
11	15
Tackles
58% (15/26)	35% (7/20)
Duels won
54	49
Clearances
17	37
Interceptions
19	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.79	1.74
Goals prevented
-1.21	0.74

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Yang Liyu (A),
45+2', Li Lei 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Abreu F. 🟨,
55', Yang Liyu ↓, Wu Shaocong ↑,
55', Dawhan ↓, Guga ↑,
62', Zhang X. ↓, Xu Bin ↑,
62', Iminqari M. ↓, Liu Xiaolong ↑,
64', Fan Shuangjie ↓, Serginho ↑,
64', Li Ruiyue ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
64', Matheus Indio ↓, Chen Po-Liang ↑,
65', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
72', Cao Yongjing ↓, He Yupeng ↑,
77', Yang A. 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Lin Liangming ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
85', 0 - 3, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
89', Duan Liuyu 🟨,
90', Yakubu A. ↓, Gao Di ↑,
90', Duan Liuyu ↓, Shan Huanhuan ↑,
90+11', 1 - 3, Davidson (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Qingdao West Coast
26.2%

Draw
24.3%

Beijing Guoan
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

23%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

22.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.97)	3.87 ↓ (4.06)	1.92 ↑ (1.75)	5.9% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Beijing Guoan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Zhang Yuan (Inactive)
There are questionable in Qingdao West Coast: Ding Haifeng (Injury) Zhang X. (Injury)
There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U. (Knee Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao West Coast won against Beijing Guoan?

Qingdao West Coast has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Qingdao West Coast?

Beijing Guoan has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan were as follows:

22.07.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 2:3

17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 1:0

11.08.2024 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 2:2

21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 4:1

26.07.2023 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 1:4

Latest results of Qingdao West Coast

10.08.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao West Coast 0:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Henan Songshan Longmen 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Shanghai Port - Qingdao West Coast 2:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 2:3 ✺

18.07.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Beijing Guoan

10.08.2025 Zhejiang Professional - Beijing Guoan 3:4 ✺

03.08.2025 Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan 2:0 ✺

22.07.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 2:3 ✺

19.07.2025 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua 1:3 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port	26	17	6	3	63:38	25	57
2	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	16	7	3	53:22	31	55
3	Shanghai Shenhua	26	16	6	4	59:31	28	54
4	Beijing Guoan	26	15	6	5	57:39	18	51
5	Shandong Taishan	26	12	7	7	57:41	16	43
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	12	7	7	36:32	4	43
7	Zhejiang Professional	26	10	9	7	54:42	12	39
8	Qingdao West Coast	26	9	9	8	35:38	-3	36
9	Dalian Yingbo	26	9	6	11	26:40	-14	33
10	Yunnan Yukun	26	8	8	10	39:50	-11	32
11	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	5	13	45:44	1	29
12	Wuhan Three Towns	26	6	6	14	32:54	-22	24
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	6	2	18	30:55	-25	20
14	Meizhou Hakka	26	5	5	16	31:57	-26	20
15	Qingdao Hainiu	26	3	9	14	25:40	-15	18
16	Changchun Yatai	26	4	6	16	24:43	-19	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League

Which TV channels are streaming of Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan?

It is being streamed on channel


China	Migu