Qarabağ Agdam vs Lyon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon
Result
1:4
28/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)
Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.682.31
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1616
Shots on Goal
310
Shots off Goal
94
Blocked Shots
42
Free Kicks
158
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
32
Throw-ins
1115
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Fouls
815
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
484378
Completed Passes
399303
Crosses Completed
94
Interceptions
1311

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Mikautadze G. , Nuamah E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Nuamah E. , Tolisso C. ,
  • 58', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
  • 60', Vesovic M. , Silva M. ,
  • 60', Andrade P. , Romao J. ,
  • 60', Kashchuk O. , Leandro Andrade ,
  • 63', Cherki R. , Benrahma S. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Tolisso C. , Veretout J. (A),
  • 65', Bayramov T. , Cafarquliyev E. ,
  • 68', 0 - 3, Fofana M. , Benrahma S. (A),
  • 74', Benzia Y. , Addai E. ,
  • 77', Tessmann T. , Matic N. ,
  • 77', Veretout J. , Caqueret M. ,
  • 80', 0 - 4, Mikautadze G. , Maitland-Niles A. (A),
  • 88', 1 - 4, Juninho (Pen),
  • 90+3', Tagliafico N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
28.2%
Draw
25.1%
Lyon
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.2% 28.7% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 28.7% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (3.45)
    3.85
    (3.15)
    2.07
    (2)
    3.8%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: Lyon will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
    • Qarabağ in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Lyon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lyon will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Diawara M. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    23.11.2024 Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam 0:3
    10.11.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Zira 4:0
    27.10.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi 3:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    23.11.2024 Reims - Lyon 1:1
    10.11.2024 Lyon - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    07.11.2024 Hoffenheim - Lyon 2:2
    01.11.2024 Lille - Lyon 1:1
    27.10.2024 Lyon - Auxerre 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 2
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 2
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 3
    21HackenBrann0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC0 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
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