Qarabağ Agdam vs Ferencvárosi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku).

: Champions League - Qualification - Final
Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	3.15
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
1	2
Passes
73% (208/283)	80% (319/399)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	3.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	2.89
Total shots
10	17
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
8	8
Blocked Shots
0	3
Shots inside the Box
4	15
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
13	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
19	13
Passes
73% (208/283)	80% (319/399)
Long passes
30% (19/63)	54% (32/59)
Passes in final third
64% (55/86)	67% (78/116)
Crosses
0% (0/2)	31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	1.96
Throw-ins
19	18
Fouls
14	21
Tackles
50% (4/8)	65% (15/23)
Duels won
52	55
Clearances
31	9
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
2.89	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.11	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Joseph L. ⚽, Varga B. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Akhundzade N. (A),
37', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
42', Kanichowsky G. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Zoubir A. ⚽, Leandro Andrade (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Levi J. ↓, Cadu ↑,
46', Otvos B. ↓, Pesic A. ↑,
53', Medina K. 🟨,
55', 2 - 2, Varga B. (Pen),
56', Keita N. 🟨,
69', Leandro Andrade ↓, Addai E. ↑,
69', O'Dowda C. ↓, Nagy B. ↑,
73', Keita N. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
73', Joseph L. ↓, Gruber Z. ↑,
81', Matheus Silva 🟨,
81', 2 - 3, Toth A. ⚽,
84', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
85', Zoubir A. ↓, Chriso ↑,
90', Cisse I. 🟨,
90+4', Akhundzade N. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
90+5', Kady Borges ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Qarabağ Agdam
42.5%

Draw
26.6%

Ferencvárosi
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.35)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	3.04 ↑ (3)	5.3% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi?

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 29 - 56.9%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 9 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 25.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 43.3% – 70.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 3 - 50%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
Qarabağ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ferencvárosi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ferencvárosi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Qarabağ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Qarabağ: Isayev A. (Inactive) Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Abu Fani M. (Inactive) Lisztes K. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Ferencvárosi: Otvos B. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Ferencvárosi?

Qarabağ Agdam has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Qarabağ Agdam?

Ferencvárosi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi were as follows:

19.08.2025 Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam 1:3

27.06.2023 Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam 3:3

Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam

22.08.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit 0:1 ✺

19.08.2025 Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam 1:3 ✺

17.08.2025 Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam Postponed ✺

12.08.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Shkendija Tetovo 5:1 ✺

05.08.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Qarabağ Agdam 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Ferencvárosi

19.08.2025 Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam 1:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy 1:2 ✺

12.08.2025 Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad 3:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ferencvárosi 1:4 ✺

06.08.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Ferencvárosi 0:0 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	HBO Max
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL, RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ESPN 5 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter