Qarabağ Agdam vs FCSB: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa League Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB
Result
2:3
23/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Glova F. (Svk)
Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
910
Shots on Goal
15
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
74
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Goalkeeper Saves
20
Free Kicks
2310
Offsides
12
Fouls
1023
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
1922
Touches in the Opposition Box
2514
Passes
82% (382/466)70% (189/271)
Passes in the final third
70% (108/155)63% (34/54)
Crosses
17% (4/23)30% (3/10)
Tackles
64% (16/25)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
1538
Interceptions
1015

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Leandro Andrade , Akhundzade N. (A),
  • 4', Alhassan B. 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Sut A. , Tanase F. (A),
  • 39', Romao J. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Dawa J. (Own goal), Cafarquliyev E. (A),
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Miculescu D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Alhassan B. , Edjouma M. ,
  • 46', Stefanescu M. , Baluta A. ,
  • 62', Miculescu D. , Musi A. ,
  • 70', Romao J. , Andrade P. ,
  • 70', Mustafazada B. , Vesovic M. ,
  • 73', 2 - 3, Sut A. ,
  • 79', Ngezana S. 🟨,
  • 79', Tanase F. , Popescu M. ,
  • 81', Akhundzade N. , Qurbanly M. ,
  • 81', Leandro Andrade , Addai E. ,
  • 81', Kashchuk O. , Bayramov T. ,
  • 89', Andrade P. 🟨,
  • 90', Birligea D. , Popa D. ,
  • 90+2', Cretu V. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Matheus Silva 🟨,

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
43.8%
Draw
28.3%
FCSB
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 29.4% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 29.5% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.3)
    3.41
    (3.26)
    3.44
    (3.29)
    4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - FCSB?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). FCSB will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 28.5%62.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
    • Qarabağ is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches FCSB is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Qarabağ will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in FCSB: Lixandru M. (Injury) Olaru D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in FCSB: Popescu O. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    Latest results of FCSB
    17.01.2025 FCSB - Hermannstadt 1:1
    12.01.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - FCSB 2:1
    10.01.2025 FCSB - Hamburger SV 2:1
    23.12.2024 Politehnica Iași - FCSB 0:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK1 : 0
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