Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Division 1 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Myszka M. (Pol)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
99
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1316
Throw-ins
3227
Fouls
1213
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Gajgier A. (Own goal),
  • 25', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Wypart O. , Korczakowski I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Lis J. 🟨,
  • 51', Adamski R. 🟨,
  • 60', Kanach R. , Francois E. ,
  • 63', Kasolik K. 🟨,
  • 63', Lis J. , Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 64', Wypart O. , Konstantyn J. ,
  • 78', Smiglewski K. , Iwao K. ,
  • 78', Stepien K. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 78', Solowiej L. , Stec J. ,
  • 78', Korczakowski I. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 85', Stepien M. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 85', Kargulewicz K. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 85', Adkonis J. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 90+3', Cholewiak M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
45.8%
Draw
26.6%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.6% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 26.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.78)
    3.5
    (3.6)
    3.38
    (4.1)
    7.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Puszcza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Puszcza could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla760128:72118
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    3Slask Wroclaw842213:13014
    4Polonia Bytom841312:11113
    5Pogon Siedlce83328:5312
    6Polonia Warszawa833214:14012
    7Grodzisk M832315:12311
    8LKS Lodz832313:12111
    9Tychy832314:14011
    10S. Rzeszow832313:13011
    11Stal Mielec832312:17-511
    12Chrobry Glogow824211:9210
    13Ruch Chorzow824211:10110
    14Legnica831413:17-410
    15Odra Opole82336:10-49
    16Puszcza80627:9-26
    17Leczna80539:17-85
    18Pruszkow81078:26-183

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
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