Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Division 1 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Myszka M. (Pol)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
99
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1316
Throw-ins
3227
Fouls
1213
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Gajgier A. (Own goal),
  • 25', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Wypart O. , Korczakowski I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Lis J. 🟨,
  • 51', Adamski R. 🟨,
  • 60', Kanach R. , Francois E. ,
  • 63', Kasolik K. 🟨,
  • 63', Lis J. , Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 64', Wypart O. , Konstantyn J. ,
  • 78', Smiglewski K. , Iwao K. ,
  • 78', Stepien K. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 78', Solowiej L. , Stec J. ,
  • 78', Korczakowski I. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 85', Stepien M. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 85', Kargulewicz K. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 85', Adkonis J. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 90+3', Cholewiak M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
45.8%
Draw
26.6%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.6% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 26.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.78)
    3.47
    (3.6)
    3.32
    (4.1)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Puszcza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Puszcza could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1264225:141122
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Odra Opole1245313:14-117
    9Ruch Chorzow1244417:19-216
    10Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    11LKS Lodz1243517:18-115
    12Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    13Legnica1242616:25-914
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1232717:26-911
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Leczna1216515:24-99
    18Pruszkow1230915:30-159

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
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