Cracovia vs Puszcza Niepołomice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/03/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 26
Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	0.63
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
20	9
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
77% (269/351)	72% (250/347)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.49	0.91
Total shots
20	9
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
9	3
Shots inside the Box
12	7
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
2	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
17	19
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
17	8
Passes
77% (269/351)	72% (250/347)
Long passes
33% (17/51)	50% (37/74)
Passes in final third
57% (52/91)	55% (53/96)
Crosses
43% (6/14)	33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.42	1.05
Fouls
8	17
Tackles
80% (8/10)	83% (19/23)
Duels won
39	60
Clearances Total
24	10
Interceptions
6	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.91	1.49
Goals prevented
-0.09	-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Kosidis M. ⚽, Abramowicz D. (A),
17', Minchev M. 🟨,
28', Serafin J. 🟨,
39', Kallman B. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Kakabadze O. ⚽, Jugas J. (A),
45+4', 2 - 1, Kallman B. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abramowicz D. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
46', Szymonowicz D. ↓, Cholewiak M. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Minchev M. ⚽, Hasic A. (A),
54', Zhukov G. ↓, Stepien K. ↑,
54', Craciun A. ↓, Solowiej L. ↑,
70', Minchev M. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
77', Sokolowski P. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
77', Hasic A. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
80', Smiglewski K. 🟨,
84', Blagaic J. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
90+1', Serafin J. 🟥,
90+3', Jugas J. ↓, Wojcik O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cracovia
55.8%

Draw
24.6%

Puszcza Niepołomice
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.6%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

27.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 (1.69)	3.81 ↓ (3.81)	4.78 ↑ (4.75)	6.5% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice?

Users Predictions: Cracovia will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Puszcza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Cracovia is a favorite.
There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury) van Buren M. (Red Card)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Cracovia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Cracovia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Puszcza Niepołomice?

Cracovia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Cracovia?

Puszcza Niepołomice has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:

10.01.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:3

21.09.2024 Puszcza Niepołomice - Cracovia 1:2

21.04.2024 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 0:1

21.10.2023 Puszcza Niepołomice - Cracovia 1:1

Latest results of Cracovia

14.03.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 5:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Cracovia - Radomiak Radom 1:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia 0:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺

14.02.2025 Cracovia - Korona Kielce 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice

16.03.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Piast Gliwice 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Motor Lublin 0:1 ✺

27.02.2025 Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:2 ✺

23.02.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Puszcza Niepołomice 0:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV