Borneo Samarinda vs Persebaya Surabaya: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Indonesian Liga 1 Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya
18/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Borneo Samarinda
43.3%
Draw
26.7%
Persebaya Surabaya
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 27% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 25.6% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borneo Samarinda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borneo Samarinda than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borneo Samarinda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persebaya Surabaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.95)
    3.42
    (3.4)
    3.04
    (3.5)
    9.5%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 2.
    • Borneo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Persebaya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Persebaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Borneo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Borneo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borneo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 2:1
    07.03.2024 Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya 2:1
    03.09.2023 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 2:1
    03.02.2023 Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda 3:2
    Latest results of Borneo Samarinda
    Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya
    Indonesian Liga 1 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Persib Bandung ✔ 331812357:312666
    2Dewa United32169760:322857
    3Malut United331511748:331556
    4Persebaya321510739:34555
    5Borneo321571047:361152
    6Persija Jakarta321481046:361050
    7PSBS Biak Numfor321381142:41147
    8PSM Makassar321114742:33947
    9Bali United321381147:38947
    10Arema FC321371251:47446
    11Persita331271432:42-1043
    12Persik Kediri3210101238:39-140
    13Persis Solo32981531:42-1135
    14Madura United32961734:55-2133
    15Semen Padang32881635:59-2432
    16Barito Putera327101539:52-1331
    17PSS Sleman32941938:49-1128
    18PSIS Semarang ✔ 33672028:55-2725

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League (Qualification: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Persib Bandung is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification )
    PSIS Semarang is Relegated to
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