UNAM vs Puebla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Puebla
24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
UNAM - Puebla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


UNAM
61.4%
Draw
22.6%
Puebla
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.4% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.3% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • UNAM - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.63)
    4.13
    (3.88)
    5.92
    (5.3)
    6.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • UNAM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, UNAM is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Puebla were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:3
    17.09.2024 UNAM - Puebla 1:0
    11.02.2024 UNAM - Puebla 3:0
    22.09.2023 Puebla - UNAM 0:2
    05.03.2023 UNAM - Puebla 2:4
    Latest results of UNAM
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    30.07.2025 UNAM - Orlando City 2:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    08.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Puebla 7:0
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Puebla 3:1
    29.07.2025 New York City - Puebla 0:3
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pachuca540110:4612
    2Monterrey540110:7312
    3Cruz Azul532012:7511
    4Club America53209:4511
    5Toluca531113:8510
    6Tigres UANL430113:679
    7Club Tijuana52217:618
    8Santos Laguna52038:806
    9Atl. San Luis52037:706
    10Club Leon52034:8-46
    11Necaxa51226:7-15
    12Mazatlan FC51226:7-15
    13UNAM Pumas51226:8-25
    14Juarez51224:6-25
    15Atlas512210:14-45
    16Guadalajara Chivas41035:7-23
    17Puebla51044:14-103
    18Queretaro50144:10-61

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