Result
2:2
23/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 1.94 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
77% (293/380) | 79% (265/335) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 1.94 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.79 | 2.63 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
77% (293/380) | 79% (265/335) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (17/47) | 37% (19/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (60/94) | 75% (77/102) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 17% (3/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.56 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 30 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (10/19) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.63 | 0.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.63 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Navarro E. 🟨,
- 25', Idrissi O. (Pen),
- 25', 0 - 1, Idrissi O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Castillo R. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 46', Rivas J. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez O. ↓, Organista A. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽, Moyano F. (A),
- 51', Moyano F. 🟨,
- 62', Moyano F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 67', Kenedy ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 67', Idrissi O. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽, Baltazar C. (A),
- 77', Valencia E. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
- 77', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 80', Navarro E. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Bautista A. ⚽, Cadiz J. (A),
- 84', Marin R. 🟨,
- 84', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
- 86', Pedraza P. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 90+1', Gamarra P. 🟨,
- 90+6', Bautista A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puebla 24.7% | Draw 25.2% | Pachuca 50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Puebla - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.8 ↑ (3.6) |
3.74 ↓ (3.8) |
1.88 ↑ (1.76) |
6.3% (10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puebla - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Pachuca will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
- Pachuca might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Carvalho W.
(Muscle Injury)
Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Fedorco J.
(Injury)
Guerra E.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Pachuca?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Puebla?
Pachuca has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Pachuca were as follows:
26.02.2025
Pachuca
-
Puebla
2:1
20.09.2024
Puebla
-
Pachuca
2:3
20.02.2024
Puebla
-
Pachuca
1:4
28.10.2023
Pachuca
-
Puebla
1:1
09.01.2023
Pachuca
-
Puebla
5:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
2 | Toluca | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:13 | 15 | 22 |
3 | Monterrey | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
4 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 21 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
7 | Juarez | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Pachuca | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 14 |
9 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Club Leon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
11 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Atl. San Luis | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
13 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 10 |
14 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Mazatlan FC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
16 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
17 | Atlas | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 7 |
18 | Puebla | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Puebla - Pachuca?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |