Puebla vs Pachuca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Puebla - Pachuca
Result
2:2
23/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
Puebla - Pachuca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.94
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
77% (293/380)79% (265/335)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.792.63
Total shots
617
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
912
Passes
77% (293/380)79% (265/335)
Long passes
36% (17/47)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
64% (60/94)75% (77/102)
Crosses
24% (4/17)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.77
Throw-ins
3230
Fouls
129
Tackles
53% (10/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4452
Clearances
2117
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.630.79
Goals prevented
0.63-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Navarro E. 🟨,
  • 25', Idrissi O. (Pen),
  • 25', 0 - 1, Idrissi O. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Castillo R. , Baltazar C. ,
  • 46', Rivas J. , Guerra E. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez O. , Organista A. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Gomez E. , Moyano F. (A),
  • 51', Moyano F. 🟨,
  • 62', Moyano F. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 67', Kenedy , Guzman V. ,
  • 67', Idrissi O. , Togni G. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Gomez E. , Baltazar C. (A),
  • 77', Valencia E. , Cadiz J. ,
  • 77', Garcia Caprizo B. A. , Sanchez C. ,
  • 80', Navarro E. , Orona E. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Bautista A. , Cadiz J. (A),
  • 84', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 84', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
  • 86', Pedraza P. , Hernandez I. ,
  • 90+1', Gamarra P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Bautista A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puebla
24.7%
Draw
25.2%
Pachuca
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 23.7% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 22.7% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Puebla - Pachuca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (3.6)
    3.74
    (3.8)
    1.88
    (1.76)
    6.3%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Puebla - Pachuca?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Pachuca will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
    • In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
    • Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
    • Pachuca might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Pachuca: Carvalho W. (Muscle Injury) Micolta A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Fedorco J. (Injury) Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Pachuca were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Pachuca - Puebla 2:1
    20.09.2024 Puebla - Pachuca 2:3
    20.02.2024 Puebla - Pachuca 1:4
    28.10.2023 Pachuca - Puebla 1:1
    09.01.2023 Pachuca - Puebla 5:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    19.09.2025 Necaxa - Puebla 1:0
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    29.08.2025 Puebla - Monterrey 2:4
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    Latest results of Pachuca
    20.09.2025 Pachuca - Querétaro 0:2
    13.09.2025 Pachuca - Cruz Azul 0:1
    30.08.2025 Club América - Pachuca 2:0
    23.08.2025 Club León - Pachuca 1:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    2Toluca1071228:131522
    3Monterrey1071222:17522
    4Club America1063119:10921
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    7Juarez1043313:12115
    8Pachuca1042413:12114
    9UNAM Pumas1034313:13013
    10Club Leon1033410:16-612
    11Guadalajara Chivas1032514:17-311
    12Atl. San Luis1031615:16-110
    13Santos Laguna1031613:17-410
    14Necaxa102359:17-89
    15Mazatlan FC1015412:17-58
    16Queretaro1022611:18-78
    17Atlas1014515:24-97
    18Puebla101279:24-155

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Puebla - Pachuca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Tubi TV
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
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