Necaxa vs Puebla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Necaxa - Puebla
Result
1:0
19/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
Necaxa - Puebla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
74% (259/349)81% (318/393)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.24
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
126
Passes
74% (259/349)81% (318/393)
Long passes
40% (22/55)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
63% (76/121)67% (62/93)
Crosses
27% (3/11)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.72
Throw-ins
2830
Fouls
612
Tackles
86% (12/14)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
3320
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.240.06
Goals prevented
0.240.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Moyano F. (Own goal),
  • 45+7', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fedorco J. , Navarro E. ,
  • 60', Sanchez R. , Rojas J. ,
  • 60', Palavecino A. , Cortez R. ,
  • 67', Castillo R. , Garnica B. ,
  • 67', Gamarra P. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 77', Perez P. , Jacob T. ,
  • 78', Calderon C. , Rossano F. ,
  • 80', Gonzalez O. , Baltazar C. ,
  • 80', Marin R. , Lozano E. ,
  • 87', De Buen D. , Andrade A. ,
  • 89', Rivas J. , Organista A. ,
  • 90+4', Rojas J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Necaxa
53.7%
Draw
25.4%
Puebla
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 27.3% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 25.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Necaxa - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.79)
    3.71
    (3.3)
    4.49
    (4)
    5.3%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Necaxa - Puebla?
  • Users Predictions: Necaxa will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3.
    • Necaxa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Puebla is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Necaxa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Lara E. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Puebla were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Puebla - Necaxa 0:1
    13.07.2024 Necaxa - Puebla 4:1
    19.01.2024 Puebla - Necaxa 1:2
    08.10.2023 Necaxa - Puebla 1:2
    14.04.2023 Necaxa - Puebla 1:1
    Latest results of Necaxa
    12.09.2025 Necaxa - Juárez 1:1
    31.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    23.08.2025 Monterrey - Necaxa 3:0
    15.08.2025 Necaxa - Club León 0:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    29.08.2025 Puebla - Monterrey 2:4
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    2Toluca1071228:131522
    3Monterrey1071222:17522
    4Club America1063119:10921
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Juarez1153315:12318
    7Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    8Pachuca1042413:12114
    9UNAM Pumas1034313:13013
    10Club Leon1133510:18-812
    11Guadalajara Chivas1032514:17-311
    12Atl. San Luis1031615:16-110
    13Santos Laguna1031613:17-410
    14Necaxa102359:17-89
    15Mazatlan FC1015412:17-58
    16Queretaro1022611:18-78
    17Atlas1014515:24-97
    18Puebla101279:24-155

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Necaxa - Puebla?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldPluto TV
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