PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon
Result
1:1
01/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.04
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
92
Blocked Shots
44
Free Kicks
1522
Corner Kicks
04
Offsides
21
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1814
Yellow Cards
32
Total Passes
596441
Completed Passes
527361
Clearances Completed
77
Crosses Completed
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Schouten J. ,
  • 22', Mauro Junior 🟨,
  • 32', Diomande O. , Quaresma E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Catamo G. , Braganca D. ,
  • 53', Quenda G. 🟨,
  • 64', Tillman M. 🟨,
  • 65', Mauro Junior , Karsdorp R. ,
  • 65', Saibari I. , Lang N. ,
  • 78', Til G. , Ledezma R. ,
  • 80', Santos N. , Harder C. ,
  • 80', Trincao , Araujo M. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Braganca D. , Araujo M. (A),
  • 86', Braganca D. 🟨,
  • 87', Lang N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bakayoko J. , Pepi R. ,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
31.3%
Draw
26.3%
Sporting Lisbon
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 26% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 28.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSV Eindhoven's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.51)
    3.66
    (3.69)
    2.29
    (2.69)
    3.3%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 6 - 13%). Sporting will win (votes: 24 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 37.8%66.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • PSV is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sporting is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: St. Juste J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Lozano H. (Muscle Injury) Oppegard F. (Injury) Veerman J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Edwards M. (Injury) Goncalves P. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches PSV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2.7:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams PSV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 4:1).
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    22.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - AVS 3:0
    17.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Lille 2:0
    13.09.2024 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    31.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 2:0
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag3 : 2, 1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 1, 0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV0 : 6, 1 : 3
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