PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon
Result
1:1
01/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.04
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
198
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
92
Blocked Shots
44
Free Kicks
1522
Corner Kicks
04
Offsides
21
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1814
Yellow Cards
32
Total Passes
596441
Completed Passes
527361
Clearances Completed
77
Crosses Completed
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Schouten J. ,
  • 22', Mauro Junior 🟨,
  • 32', Diomande O. , Quaresma E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Catamo G. , Braganca D. ,
  • 53', Quenda G. 🟨,
  • 64', Tillman M. 🟨,
  • 65', Mauro Junior , Karsdorp R. ,
  • 65', Saibari I. , Lang N. ,
  • 78', Til G. , Ledezma R. ,
  • 80', Santos N. , Harder C. ,
  • 80', Trincao , Araujo M. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Braganca D. , Araujo M. (A),
  • 86', Braganca D. 🟨,
  • 87', Lang N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bakayoko J. , Pepi R. ,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
31.3%
Draw
26.3%
Sporting Lisbon
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 26% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 28.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSV Eindhoven's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.51)
    3.66
    (3.69)
    2.29
    (2.69)
    3.3%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 6 - 13%). Sporting will win (votes: 24 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 37.8%66.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • PSV is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sporting is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: St. Juste J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Lozano H. (Muscle Injury) Oppegard F. (Injury) Veerman J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Edwards M. (Injury) Goncalves P. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches PSV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2.7:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams PSV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 4:1).
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    22.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - AVS 3:0
    17.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Lille 2:0
    13.09.2024 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    31.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 2:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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