Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Segunda Division Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín
Result
0:0
30/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Segunda Division - Round 11
Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Munoz I. 🟨,
  • 18', Mundaca K. 🟨,
  • 36', Bobadilla S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Benavente A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Marquez B. , Cabrera V. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Provincial Ovalle
54.8%
Draw
25.1%
Real San Joaquín
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 24.8% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 24% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.63)
    3.61
    (3.6)
    4.5
    (4.33)
    10.4%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ovalle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ovalle is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Real San Joaquín - Provincial Ovalle 1:2
    19.05.2024 Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín 4:0
    Chilean Segunda Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Puerto Montt1375124:71726
    2Provincial Ovalle1365215:8723
    3Osorno1381428:161222
    4Dep. Linares1364320:19122
    5Concon National1362525:19620
    6Melipilla1361623:19419
    7San Antonio Unido1353523:21218
    8Trasandino1351719:21-216
    9Brujas Salamanca1343615:20-515
    10General Velasquez1335514:21-714
    11Deportes Rengo1342712:20-814
    12Santiago City1333715:31-1612
    13Real San Joaquin122379:20-119

          Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso
          Relegation

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