Concón National vs Provincial Ovalle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Segunda Division Concón National - Provincial Ovalle
Result
0:3
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Segunda Division - Round 7
Concón National - Provincial Ovalle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', Torres B. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Harding G. ,
  • 12', Rivera B. 🟨,
  • 14', 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 2, Harding G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ragusa F. , Llanos J. ,
  • 62', Andrade Moya J. , Vargas L. ,
  • 62', Wassenne M. , Zuniga R. ,
  • 62', Becerra M. , Cortes B. ,
  • 66', Jopia Arias C. 🟨,
  • 68', Rivera N. 🟨,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 76', Rivera B. , Leiton C. ,
  • 76', Monardes D. , Bobadilla S. ,
  • 76', Harding G. , Tolosa T. ,
  • 81', 0 - 3, Davis G. (Own goal),
  • 82', Llanos J. 🟨,
  • 86', Vera V. , Saavedra M. ,

Chances of winning


Concón National
29.3%
Draw
26.6%
Provincial Ovalle
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 28.1% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Concón National has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concón National's form might have worsened.
  • Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Provincial Ovalle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concón National than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concón National, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Provincial Ovalle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Concón National - Provincial Ovalle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.33)
    3.42
    (3.39)
    2.06
    (2.73)
    10%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Concón National - Provincial Ovalle?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Concón National is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ovalle is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Concón National won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Concón National won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Concón National - Provincial Ovalle were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Concón National - Provincial Ovalle 0:1
    04.05.2024 Provincial Ovalle - Concón National 1:1
    Latest results of Concón National
    Chilean Segunda Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Puerto Montt953117:51218
    2Provincial Ovalle943211:7415
    3Dep. Linares943211:9215
    4Brujas Salamanca841311:11013
    5Trasandino840412:10212
    6Deportes Rengo83239:11-211
    7Osorno841317:11610
    8Concon National831413:12110
    9General Velasquez82339:13-49
    10San Antonio Unido82249:12-38
    11Real San Joaquin72236:12-68
    12Melipilla821510:16-67
    13Santiago City61235:11-65

          Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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