Provincial Osorno vs Real San Joaquín: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chilean Segunda Division Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín
Result
5:0
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Segunda Division - Round 9
Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Orellana M. ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Pezoa M. D. A. ,
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Castro G. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Duarte J. , Duran F. ,
  • 57', Barahona F. , Carvajal M. ,
  • 58', Pezoa M. D. A. 🟨,
  • 65', Pezoa M. D. A. , Maureira M. ,
  • 65', Sanguinetti F. , Namoncura S. ,
  • 66', Orellana M. , Ayala Rodriguez S. A. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Bielkiewicz D. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Bielkiewicz D. ,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 81', Abarca L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Provincial Osorno
51.9%
Draw
24.2%
Real San Joaquín
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 27% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 26.9% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provincial Osorno's performance.
  • Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Provincial Osorno that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.04)
    3.76
    (3.4)
    3.81
    (3.28)
    9.9%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Provincial Osorno is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Provincial Osorno won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Provincial Osorno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín 3:2
    26.05.2024 Real San Joaquín - Provincial Osorno 3:3
    26.08.2023 Real San Joaquín - Provincial Osorno 0:2
    23.04.2023 Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín 2:1
    Chilean Segunda Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Puerto Montt19116241:142739
    2Dep. Linares19105431:24735
    3Provincial Ovalle1995520:14632
    4Melipilla18101731:24731
    5Brujas Salamanca1893625:22330
    6Osorno1894536:241228
    7Trasandino1881928:30-225
    8Concon National1973931:29224
    9San Antonio Unido1983838:36223
    10General Velasquez1947821:32-1119
    11Santiago City18531024:42-1818
    12Deportes Rengo18421216:32-1614
    13Real San Joaquin18331215:34-1912

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