Defensor Sporting vs Progreso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - Progreso
Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 12
Defensor Sporting - Progreso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
83
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
88
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
83
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Trasante G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 63', 0 - 1, Moreira A. ,
  • 63', Pacifico P. , Agazzi L. ,
  • 63', Barco A. , Amaro M. ,
  • 64', Prieto K. , Biscayzacu X. ,
  • 67', Gonzalez N. , Sosa F. ,
  • 67', Soria A. , Dudok R. ,
  • 73', Montoya W. , Abreu D. ,
  • 78', Fernandez N. , Rivero J. ,
  • 81', Pinheiro A. , Ordonez C. ,
  • 82', Trasante G. , Asconeguy D. ,
  • 83', 0 - 2, Moreira A. ,
  • 84', Amaro M. 🟨,
  • 85', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 89', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Gomez M. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Gomez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
60.5%
Draw
23.7%
Progreso
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.3% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 24.6% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Defensor Sporting - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.65)
    3.96
    (3.66)
    5.85
    (5.02)
    7.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Progreso?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Defensor Sporting will win! (4 of 5 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 3.
    • Defensor Sporting is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Progreso is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Defensor Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Defensor Sporting is a favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29:18 (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Progreso were as follows:
    13.11.2024 Defensor Sporting - Progreso 3:0
    15.06.2024 Defensor Sporting - Progreso 1:1
    12.05.2024 Progreso - Defensor Sporting 1:4
    03.11.2022 Defensor Sporting - Progreso 3:1
    26.10.2022 Progreso - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool M1485121:91229
    2Nacional1484233:151828
    3Juventud1483321:14727
    4Defensor Sp1473416:10624
    5Racing Montevideo1464413:9422
    6Penarol1363416:15121
    7Cerro Largo1456315:15021
    8Boston River1463516:17-121
    9Plaza Colonia1454512:11119
    10Montevideo City1445515:20-517
    11Progreso1436516:25-915
    12CA Cerro1335512:17-514
    13Miramar1432915:23-811
    14River Plate1424810:19-910
    15Wanderers1416711:17-69
    16Danubio1409510:16-69

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