Nova Iguaçu vs Pouso Alegre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 11
Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
136
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
136
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 72', 1 - 0, Thomasel ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Sidney Pages ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Nova Iguaçu
40.9%
Draw
30.3%
Pouso Alegre
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.9% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.
  • Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.88)
    3
    (3.3)
    3.16
    (3.65)
    10.1%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nova Iguaçu might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Pouso Alegre were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Pouso Alegre - Nova Iguaçu 1:0
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Latest results of Pouso Alegre
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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