Catania vs Potenza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie C Group A Catania - Potenza
Result
1:0
07/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Catania - Potenza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
113
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
155
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
113
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Erradi B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Lucas Martello , Siatounis A. ,
  • 54', Rosafio M. , Schimmenti E. ,
  • 58', Petrungaro L. , D'Auria G. ,
  • 60', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
  • 62', Ierardi M. 🟨,
  • 65', Stoppa M. , Dalmonte N. ,
  • 65', Di Tacchio F. , Sturaro S. ,
  • 72', Jimenez K. , Frisenna G. ,
  • 79', Erradi B. , Selleri G. ,
  • 79', Burgio R. , Mazzeo L. ,
  • 83', Anastasio A. 🟨,
  • 88', Verrengia B. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Inglese R. ,
  • 90', Inglese R. , Montalto A. ,
  • 90', Quaini A. , De Rose F. ,

Chances of winning


Catania
51.5%
Draw
27.4%
Potenza
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 31% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 29.7% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Catania's performance.
  • Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catania that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Catania - Potenza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.15)
    3.41
    (2.97)
    4.42
    (3.53)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Catania - Potenza?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In case of a draw home team advances.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 1.
    • Catania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Potenza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Catania is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Catania won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Catania - Potenza were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:2
    14.12.2024 Catania - Potenza 0:2
    10.03.2024 Catania - Potenza 0:0
    05.11.2023 Potenza - Catania 1:0
    Latest results of Catania
    04.05.2025 Catania - Giugliano 3:2
    27.04.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:2
    12.04.2025 Cavese - Catania 0:1
    06.04.2025 Catania - Avellino 1:2
    30.03.2025 Trapani - Catania 0:3
    Latest results of Potenza
    04.05.2025 Potenza - Picerno 2:0
    27.04.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:2
    19.04.2025 Latina - Potenza 1:0
    13.04.2025 Potenza - Casertana 2:1
    06.04.2025 Monopoli - Potenza 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pro Vercelli22005:326
    2Arzignano22005:326
    3L.R. Vicenza21105:054
    4Lecco21103:214
    5Cittadella21102:114
    6Renate21102:114
    7Brescia21013:213
    8Pergolettese21013:303
    9Alcione Milano21011:103
    10Trento21012:203
    11Novara20202:202
    12Dolomiti Bellunesi20203:302
    13Inter U2320203:302
    14Pro Patria20114:5-11
    15AlbinoLeffe20113:4-11
    16Virtus Verona20113:4-11
    17Ospitaletto20111:2-11
    18Giana Erminio20111:3-21
    19Lumezzane20022:8-60
    20Triestina20111:2-1-6

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Catania - Potenza?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
    worldWorldFIFA+
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