Result
1:1
08/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (411/471) | 72% (184/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (411/471) | 72% (184/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (89/111) | 51% (35/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Ascanio G. 🟨,
- 22', Lopez A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Castellanos J. ⚽,
- 39', Escudero Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Escudero Y. ↓, Moreno Quero L. ↑,
- 57', Marchan J. 🟨,
- 61', Uribe A. 🟨,
- 64', Cermeno C. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Lopez A. (Pen),
- 73', Cermeno C. ↓, Montana C. ↑,
- 73', Flores F. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
- 73', Uribe A. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
- 73', Marchan J. ↓, Febres R. ↑,
- 82', Meza J. 🟨,
- 82', Castro C. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 84', Martinez L. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 84', Castellanos J. ↓, Sulbaran M. ↑,
- 84', Ascanio G. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 90', Lopez A. ↓, Rivero M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Guaira
66.4% | Draw
21.6% | Portuguesa Acarígua
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo La Guaira's performance.Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Guaira that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Deportivo La Guaira - Portuguesa Acarígua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.6) |
4.32 ↑
(3.61) |
7.84 ↑
(5.49) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira - Portuguesa Acarígua?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo La Guaira will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 2.
- In recent matches, Deportivo La Guaira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Portuguesa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Deportivo La Guaira is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo La Guaira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Guaira won against Portuguesa Acarígua?
Deportivo La Guaira has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa Acarígua won against Deportivo La Guaira?
Portuguesa Acarígua has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Guaira - Portuguesa Acarígua were as follows:
03.05.2025
Portuguesa Acarígua
-
Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
30.03.2025
Portuguesa Acarígua
-
Deportivo La Guaira
1:3
04.10.2024
Portuguesa Acarígua
-
Deportivo La Guaira
2:1
06.04.2024
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Portuguesa Acarígua
0:2
26.08.2023
Deportivo La Guaira
-
Portuguesa Acarígua
2:2
Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
Latest results of Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Portuguesa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Anzoategui FC | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )
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