Portugal W vs Belgium W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women
Soccer UEFA Euro Women Portugal W - Belgium W
Result
1:2
11/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Round 3
Portugal W - Belgium W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.351.98
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (332/388)77% (215/279)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.351.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.16
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
86% (332/388)77% (215/279)
Long passes
57% (29/51)49% (24/49)
Passes in final third
77% (135/175)71% (40/56)
Crosses
19% (5/27)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.95
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1014
Tackles
70% (16/23)56% (15/27)
Duels won
6252
Clearances
2041
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.161.78
Goals prevented
-0.840.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Wullaert T. ⚽, Janssens J. (A),
  • 30', Gomes D. 🟨,
  • 34', Blom J. ↓, Detruyer M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Norton A. ↓, Jacinto A. ↑,
  • 46', Amado C. ↓, Sousa Alves L. C. ↑,
  • 56', Capeta A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
  • 60', Vanhaevermaet J. 🟨,
  • 70', Silva D. ↓, Encarnacao T. ↑,
  • 79', Teulings J. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
  • 79', Janssens J. ↓, Philtjens D. ↑,
  • 79', Marchao J. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Encarnacao T. ⚽, Nazareth K. (A),
  • 89', Dhont E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pinto F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Cayman J. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Portugal W
50.9%		Draw
24.6%		Belgium W
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 24.7% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 24.6% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugal W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Belgium W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal W than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgium W than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
    •

    Portugal W - Belgium W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.85 ↑
    (1.73)    		 3.83 ↑
    (3.83)    		 3.86 ↓
    (4.55)    		 6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Portugal W - Belgium W?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Belgium will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 59.8% – 88.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Portugal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2.
    • Recent form of Portugal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Belgium has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Portugal is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugal W - Belgium W were as follows:
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3
    26.02.2025 Belgium W - Portugal W 0:1
    06.10.2022 Portugal W - Belgium W 2:1
    Latest results of Portugal W
    07.07.2025 Portugal W - Italy W 1:1 ✺
    03.07.2025 Spain W - Portugal W 5:0 ✺
    23.06.2025 Portugal W - Nigeria W 0:0 ✺
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3 ✺
    30.05.2025 England W - Portugal W 6:0 ✺
    Latest results of Belgium W
    07.07.2025 Spain W - Belgium W 6:2 ✺
    03.07.2025 Belgium W - Italy W 0:1 ✺
    26.06.2025 Belgium W - Greece W 2:0
    20.06.2025 France W - Belgium W 5:0
    03.06.2025 Portugal W - Belgium W 0:3 ✺
    UEFA Euro Women Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway W33008:539
    2Switzerland W31114:314
    3Finland W31113:304
    4Iceland W30033:7-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain W330014:3119
    2Italy W31113:4-14
    3Belgium W31024:8-43
    4Portugal W30122:8-61


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sweden W33008:179
    2Germany W32015:506
    3Poland W31023:7-43
    4Denmark W30033:6-30


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1France W22006:246
    2England W21015:233
    3Netherlands W21013:4-13
    4Wales W20021:7-60

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