Portugal vs Spain, UEFA Nations League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Arena (Munich).

: UEFA Nations League - League A - Play Offs - Final
Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	2.06
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
7	16
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
86% (440/509)	93% (754/811)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	2.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.67	1.50
Total shots
7	16
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
18	26
Accurate through passes
0	4
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
19	14
Passes
86% (440/509)	93% (754/811)
Long passes
43% (16/37)	50% (16/32)
Passes in final third
72% (68/94)	89% (166/187)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	1.49
Throw-ins
23	14
Fouls
14	19
Tackles
57% (8/14)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
48	48
Clearances
23	19
Interceptions
8	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
1.50	0.67
Goals prevented
-0.50	-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', Inacio G. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Zubimendi M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Mendes N. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
33', Ruiz F. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Oyarzabal M. ⚽, Pedri (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Conceicao F. ↓, Neves R. ↑,
46', Neves J. ↓, Semedo N. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Ronaldo C. ⚽,
74', Inacio G. ↓, Veiga R. ↑,
74', Silva B. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
75', Ruiz F. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
75', Pedri ↓, Isco ↑,
82', Neto P. 🟨,
88', Ronaldo C. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
90+1', Le Normand R. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
92', Williams N. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
92', Mingueza O. ↓, Porro P. ↑,
100', Mendes N. 🟨,
100', Baena A. 🟨,
106', Neto P. ↓, Diogo Jota ↑,
106', Yamal L. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
110', Porro P. 🟨,
110', Martinez R. 🟨,
111', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Ramos G. (Pen),
1, Merino M. (Pen),
2, Vitinha (Pen),
2, Baena A. (Pen),
3, Fernandes B. (Pen),
3, Isco (Pen),
4, Mendes N. (Pen),
4, Morata A. (Pen),
5, Neves R. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/sycny8ae

Chances of winning

Portugal
25.1%

Draw
26.2%

Spain
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26.3%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Portugal - Spain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.54)	3.65 ↑ (3.59)	1.96 ↓ (2)	4.8% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Portugal - Spain?

Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 11 - 11.1%). Spain will win (votes: 74 - 74.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 14.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 66.1% – 83.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Portugal (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Spain (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

DC - Portugal (votes: 5 - 100%).

AH 0 - Spain (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Neutral location - Allianz Arena.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 0.
Portugal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Spain is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Portugal won against Spain?

Portugal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Spain won against Portugal?

Spain has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portugal - Spain were as follows:

27.09.2022 Portugal - Spain 0:1

Latest results of Portugal

04.06.2025 Germany - Portugal 1:2 ✺

23.03.2025 Portugal - Denmark 5:2 ✺

20.03.2025 Denmark - Portugal 1:0 ✺

18.11.2024 Croatia - Portugal 1:1 ✺

15.11.2024 Portugal - Poland 5:1 ✺

Latest results of Spain

05.06.2025 Spain - France 5:4 ✺

23.03.2025 Spain - Netherlands 4:3 ✺

20.03.2025 Netherlands - Spain 2:2 ✺

18.11.2024 Spain - Switzerland 3:2 ✺

15.11.2024 Denmark - Spain 1:2 ✺

Draw

League A - Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Italy	Germany	3 : 3, 1 : 2
2	Denmark	Portugal	2 : 5, 1 : 0
3	Netherlands	Spain	3 : 4, 2 : 2
4	Croatia	France	0 : 3, 2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Germany	Portugal	1 : 2
2	Spain	France	5 : 4

Final

1

Portugal

Spain

3 : 2

3rd place

2

Germany

France

0 : 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Portugal - Spain?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Canal+ Evenement, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	ORF 1, RTL, Sky Go Austria
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	BNT News App, DAZN 1, Play Sports 1, RTL Play, RTL TVI, VTM, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, BHT 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3, Diema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CNC, CTN
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Nova TV, SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, RIK 1
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2, TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Molotov TV, New World TV, TF 1, TF1+
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, RTL, RTL+
Greece	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	M4 Sport, Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
Iran	Persiana Sports
Ireland	Shabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel, Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, RAI 2, RaiPlay, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Latvia	LTV 7
Liechtenstein	Landeskanal
Lithuania	LRT TV
Luxembourg	RTL 2, RTL 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Moldova 1
Netherlands	Canal+, NPO 3, Sporza, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean, ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2, TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	RTP 1, Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
San-marino	San Marino RTV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	RSI La 2, RTL, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport+, TV 8
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	GBC TV, ITV 1, ITV X, Sport 24 International, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Fubo Sports Network, Sport 24 At Sea, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	VIX App