Portsmouth vs Preston North End: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Portsmouth - Preston North End
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 4
  • Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)
Portsmouth - Preston North End - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.91
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
66% (187/282)72% (305/421)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.640.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.58
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
711
Passes
66% (187/282)72% (305/421)
Long passes
36% (27/74)33% (31/94)
Passes in final third
51% (61/120)50% (68/136)
Crosses
12% (2/17)24% (8/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.68
Throw-ins
2340
Fouls
117
Tackles
47% (7/15)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3645
Clearances
3622
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.580.82
Goals prevented
0.58-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Storey J. 🟨,
  • 34', Hughes A. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Dozzell A. , Swift J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Dozzell A. 🟨,
  • 64', Bianchini F. , Le Roux L. ,
  • 67', Thordarson S. T. , Dobbin L. ,
  • 67', Jebbison D. , Frokjaer-Jensen M. ,
  • 79', Swanson Z. , Knight J. ,
  • 88', Storey J. , Offiah O. ,
  • 90', Segecic A. , Devlin T. ,
  • 90', Bishop C. , Waddingham T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
44%
Draw
28.5%
Preston North End
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 28.4% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 30.5% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Portsmouth - Preston North End Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.21)
    3.31
    (3.35)
    3.44
    (3.33)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Preston North End?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Preston will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5%68.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Portsmouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Preston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portsmouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portsmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Lang C. (Injury) Pack M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Keane W. (Inactive) Potts B. (Injury) Thompson J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Preston: Frokjaer-Jensen M. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Preston North End were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Preston North End - Portsmouth 2:1
    09.11.2024 Portsmouth - Preston North End 3:1
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    16.08.2025 Portsmouth - Norwich City 1:2
    12.08.2025 Portsmouth - Reading 1:2
    09.08.2025 Oxford United - Portsmouth 0:1
    02.08.2025 Portsmouth - Zwolle 1:0
    Latest results of Preston North End
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough44007:1612
    2West Brom43106:3310
    3Stoke43018:359
    4Leicester43016:339
    5Coventry422014:688
    6Bristol City42209:458
    7Swansea42114:227
    8Portsmouth42114:317
    9Preston42114:317
    10Birmingham42114:407
    11Norwich42026:516
    12Millwall42023:6-36
    13Southampton41216:605
    14Watford41215:505
    15Wrexham41127:704
    16Charlton41122:4-24
    17Hull41125:9-44
    18QPR41126:11-54
    19Blackburn41034:5-13
    20Ipswich40314:5-13
    21Derby40227:11-42
    22Oxford Utd40134:7-31
    23Sheffield Wed40133:9-61
    24Sheffield Utd40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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