Norwich City vs Portsmouth: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Norwich City - Portsmouth
Result
3:5
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Norwich City - Portsmouth - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.072.87
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1122
Shots on target
610
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
80% (405/504)73% (230/315)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.072.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.243.14
Total shots
1122
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
915
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2527
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
80% (405/504)73% (230/315)
Long passes
37% (19/52)37% (21/57)
Passes in final third
69% (75/109)65% (88/135)
Crosses
22% (4/18)14% (4/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.291.30
Fouls
1211
Tackles
85% (11/13)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5248
Clearances Total
3625
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
3.142.24
Goals prevented
-1.86-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Bishop C. , Ritchie M. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Sargent J. ,
  • 31', Ritchie M. 🟨,
  • 32', Hayden I. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 2, Ritchie M. , Murphy J. (A),
  • 45+4', 1 - 3, Bishop C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Nunez M. , Stacey J. ,
  • 46', Sargent J. , Marcondes E. ,
  • 52', 1 - 4, Bishop C. , Murphy J. (A),
  • 55', Hayden I. , Dozzell A. ,
  • 58', Schwartau O. , Doyle C. ,
  • 64', 2 - 4, Stacey J. , Wright J. (A),
  • 67', Cordoba J. , Sorensen J. ,
  • 71', 2 - 5, Poole R. , Aouchiche A. (A),
  • 75', Bishop C. , Yengi K. ,
  • 79', Sainz B. 🟨,
  • 85', Aouchiche A. , Devlin T. ,
  • 85', Atkinson R. , Swanson Z. ,
  • 86', Ritchie M. , Pack M. ,
  • 89', Fisher K. , Forson A. ,
  • 90', 3 - 5, Marcondes E. , Wright J. (A),
  • 90+5', Dozzell A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Norwich City
51.7%
Draw
25.6%
Portsmouth
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 24.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 21% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portsmouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Norwich City - Portsmouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.84)
    3.7
    (3.9)
    4.22
    (3.94)
    5.2%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Norwich City - Portsmouth?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Norwich (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Portsmouth (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19).
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • In this match Norwich is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Ankle Injury) Dobbin L. (Calf Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Mahovo L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Bowat I. (Tendon Injury) Farrell J. (Leg Injury) Lane P. (Knee Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Milosevic A. (Calf Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Norwich: Crnac A. (Inactive) Hernandez O. (Inactive) Sorensen J. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Norwich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Portsmouth were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Portsmouth - Norwich City 0:0
    Latest results of Norwich City
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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